The Workers' Party's 8th National Congress in late April 2026 approved a manifesto explicitly framing President Lula da Silva's re-election as the path to democratic continuity, building on his October 2025 announcement of a fourth nonconsecutive term bid and solidifying him as the party's lead candidate ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Party leadership, including president Edinho Silva, has prioritized broad alliances and state-level sacrifices to bolster Lula's path, amid polls showing him ahead of rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro despite disapproval ratings climbing to 52-53% in early May surveys. Recent O Globo reporting on contingency testing of alternatives like Fernando Haddad reflects caution, but trader consensus at 86% yes implies strong internal momentum for formal nomination at PT's required convention before the August 15 candidacy registration deadline, barring health setbacks or polling collapse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-08-15
是
最新
最新
2026-08-15
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's 8th National Congress in late April 2026 approved a manifesto explicitly framing President Lula da Silva's re-election as the path to democratic continuity, building on his October 2025 announcement of a fourth nonconsecutive term bid and solidifying him as the party's lead candidate ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Party leadership, including president Edinho Silva, has prioritized broad alliances and state-level sacrifices to bolster Lula's path, amid polls showing him ahead of rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro despite disapproval ratings climbing to 52-53% in early May surveys. Recent O Globo reporting on contingency testing of alternatives like Fernando Haddad reflects caution, but trader consensus at 86% yes implies strong internal momentum for formal nomination at PT's required convention before the August 15 candidacy registration deadline, barring health setbacks or polling collapse.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$8,922结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's 8th National Congress in late April 2026 approved a manifesto explicitly framing President Lula da Silva's re-election as the path to democratic continuity, building on his October 2025 announcement of a fourth nonconsecutive term bid and solidifying him as the party's lead candidate ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Party leadership, including president Edinho Silva, has prioritized broad alliances and state-level sacrifices to bolster Lula's path, amid polls showing him ahead of rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro despite disapproval ratings climbing to 52-53% in early May surveys. Recent O Globo reporting on contingency testing of alternatives like Fernando Haddad reflects caution, but trader consensus at 86% yes implies strong internal momentum for formal nomination at PT's required convention before the August 15 candidacy registration deadline, barring health setbacks or polling collapse.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,922结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Workers' Party's 8th National Congress in late April 2026 approved a manifesto explicitly framing President Lula da Silva's re-election as the path to democratic continuity, building on his October 2025 announcement of a fourth nonconsecutive term bid and solidifying him as the party's lead candidate ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Party leadership, including president Edinho Silva, has prioritized broad alliances and state-level sacrifices to bolster Lula's path, amid polls showing him ahead of rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro despite disapproval ratings climbing to 52-53% in early May surveys. Recent O Globo reporting on contingency testing of alternatives like Fernando Haddad reflects caution, but trader consensus at 86% yes implies strong internal momentum for formal nomination at PT's required convention before the August 15 candidacy registration deadline, barring health setbacks or polling collapse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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