Recent polls for the Andalusia regional election on May 17 project VOX securing 13-20 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, with trader consensus centering on 16-18 (37%) and 13-15 (31%) as leading outcomes, reflecting polling averages around 14-17% vote share amid variability across firms like SocioMétrica, Commentia, and CENTRA. This tightness stems from VOX's stability near its 2022 haul of 14 seats, capped by incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno's surge toward an absolute majority (55 seats) via voter transfers from the right, while left fragmentation between PSOE, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía indirectly bolsters conservative totals under proportional representation. Final campaign momentum, undecideds in provinces like Almería, and turnout in VOX strongholds could tip toward higher (19-21) or lower (<13) ranges, especially on immigration or economic debates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于16-18 39%
13-15 31%
19-21 28%
<13 12.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<13
12%
13-15
31%
16-18
39%
19-21
28%
22+
6%
16-18 39%
13-15 31%
19-21 28%
<13 12.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<13
$198 交易量
12%
13-15
$396 交易量
31%
16-18
$288 交易量
39%
19-21
$812 交易量
28%
22+
$241 交易量
6%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the Andalusia regional election on May 17 project VOX securing 13-20 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, with trader consensus centering on 16-18 (37%) and 13-15 (31%) as leading outcomes, reflecting polling averages around 14-17% vote share amid variability across firms like SocioMétrica, Commentia, and CENTRA. This tightness stems from VOX's stability near its 2022 haul of 14 seats, capped by incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno's surge toward an absolute majority (55 seats) via voter transfers from the right, while left fragmentation between PSOE, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía indirectly bolsters conservative totals under proportional representation. Final campaign momentum, undecideds in provinces like Almería, and turnout in VOX strongholds could tip toward higher (19-21) or lower (<13) ranges, especially on immigration or economic debates.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
交易量
$1,935结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the Andalusia regional election on May 17 project VOX securing 13-20 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, with trader consensus centering on 16-18 (37%) and 13-15 (31%) as leading outcomes, reflecting polling averages around 14-17% vote share amid variability across firms like SocioMétrica, Commentia, and CENTRA. This tightness stems from VOX's stability near its 2022 haul of 14 seats, capped by incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno's surge toward an absolute majority (55 seats) via voter transfers from the right, while left fragmentation between PSOE, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía indirectly bolsters conservative totals under proportional representation. Final campaign momentum, undecideds in provinces like Almería, and turnout in VOX strongholds could tip toward higher (19-21) or lower (<13) ranges, especially on immigration or economic debates.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$1,935结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the Andalusia regional election on May 17 project VOX securing 13-20 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, with trader consensus centering on 16-18 (37%) and 13-15 (31%) as leading outcomes, reflecting polling averages around 14-17% vote share amid variability across firms like SocioMétrica, Commentia, and CENTRA. This tightness stems from VOX's stability near its 2022 haul of 14 seats, capped by incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno's surge toward an absolute majority (55 seats) via voter transfers from the right, while left fragmentation between PSOE, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía indirectly bolsters conservative totals under proportional representation. Final campaign momentum, undecideds in provinces like Almería, and turnout in VOX strongholds could tip toward higher (19-21) or lower (<13) ranges, especially on immigration or economic debates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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