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icon for 哈克尼市长选举获胜者

哈克尼市长选举获胜者

icon for 哈克尼市长选举获胜者

哈克尼市长选举获胜者

佐伊·加贝特 100.0%

瓦希德·阿尔马西 <1%

塔雷克·格雷格 <1%

伊娃·施泰因哈特 <1%

Polymarket

$46,048 交易量

佐伊·加贝特 100.0%

瓦希德·阿尔马西 <1%

塔雷克·格雷格 <1%

伊娃·施泰因哈特 <1%

Polymarket

$46,048 交易量

icon for 瓦希德·阿尔马西

瓦希德·阿尔马西

$1,694 交易量

icon for 佐伊·加贝特

佐伊·加贝特

$26,721 交易量

icon for 塔雷克·格雷格

塔雷克·格雷格

$1,722 交易量

icon for 伊娃·施泰因哈特

伊娃·施泰因哈特

$1,584 交易量

icon for 卡罗琳·伍德利

卡罗琳·伍德利

$14,328 交易量

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Official results from the 7 May 2026 Hackney mayoral election, announced on 8 May, confirm Zoë Garbett of the Green Party as the winner with 35,720 votes, unseating Labour after 24 years of control and marking the party's first mayoral victory in London. This decisive outcome, tallied alongside the Hackney London Borough Council election, reflects voter shifts in the east London borough, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on her victory. While residual probabilities linger on challengers like Vahid Almasi, Tareke Gregg, Eva Steinhardt, and Caroline Woodley, any realistic challenge would require a successful recount, legal dispute over ballot validity, or procedural irregularity—none of which have emerged in initial counts.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
交易量
$46,048
结束日期
2026-05-07
市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Official results from the 7 May 2026 Hackney mayoral election, announced on 8 May, confirm Zoë Garbett of the Green Party as the winner with 35,720 votes, unseating Labour after 24 years of control and marking the party's first mayoral victory in London. This decisive outcome, tallied alongside the Hackney London Borough Council election, reflects voter shifts in the east London borough, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on her victory. While residual probabilities linger on challengers like Vahid Almasi, Tareke Gregg, Eva Steinhardt, and Caroline Woodley, any realistic challenge would require a successful recount, legal dispute over ballot validity, or procedural irregularity—none of which have emerged in initial counts.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
交易量
$46,048
结束日期
2026-05-07
市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"哈克尼市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"佐伊·加贝特",概率为 100%,其次是"瓦希德·阿尔马西",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哈克尼市长选举获胜者"已产生 $46K 的总交易量(自Apr 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哈克尼市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哈克尼市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"佐伊·加贝特",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"瓦希德·阿尔马西",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哈克尼市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。