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政治·玻利维亚

圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）

Market icon
政治·玻利维亚

圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）

奥托·里特 52.9%

胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 42.1%

路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔 1.7%

胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$481,453 交易量

奥托·里特 52.9%

胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 42.1%

路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔 1.7%

胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$481,453 交易量

奥托·里特

$75,430 交易量

45%

胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科

$283,475 交易量

42%

路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔

$122,547 交易量

2%

胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯

$0 交易量

<1%

胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺

$0 交易量

<1%

毛里西奥·克萨达

$0 交易量

<1%

池贤钟

$0 交易量

<1%

圭多·爱德华多·纳亚尔

$0 交易量

<1%

米格尔·卡迪马

$0 交易量

<1%

弗拉基米尔·佩尼亚

$0 交易量

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus prices Otto Ritter at 44.2% and Juan Pablo Velasco at 42.1% for Bolivia's Santa Cruz governor election on December 15, 2024, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by the region's strong anti-MAS opposition sentiment clashing with the national ruling party's organizational strength. Ritter, from Camacho's Creemos party, has inherited much of the imprisoned ex-governor Luis Fernando Camacho's support base—despite Camacho's 1.8% odds due to his Constitutional Court disqualification—bolstered by recent rallies and a mid-November Ciesmori poll showing Ritter edging ahead 41-39% amid Velasco's pushback on economic issues. The contest remains deadlocked as Santa Cruz voters weigh regional autonomy against MAS governance; a late scandal, turnout surge among indigenous blocs, or campaign gaffes could tip the balance toward a runoff or outright win.

Trader consensus prices Otto Ritter at 44.2% and Juan Pablo Velasco at 42.1% for Bolivia's Santa Cruz governor election on December 15, 2024, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by the region's strong anti-MAS opposition sentiment clashing with the national ruling party's organizational strength. Ritter, from Camacho's Creemos party, has inherited much of the imprisoned ex-governor Luis Fernando Camacho's support base—despite Camacho's 1.8% odds due to his Constitutional Court disqualification—bolstered by recent rallies and a mid-November Ciesmori poll showing Ritter edging ahead 41-39% amid Velasco's pushback on economic issues. The contest remains deadlocked as Santa Cruz voters weigh regional autonomy against MAS governance; a late scandal, turnout surge among indigenous blocs, or campaign gaffes could tip the balance toward a runoff or outright win.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus prices Otto Ritter at 44.2% and Juan Pablo Velasco at 42.1% for Bolivia's Santa Cruz governor election on December 15, 2024, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by the region's strong anti-MAS opposition sentiment clashing with the national ruling party's organizational strength. Ritter, from Camacho's Creemos party, has inherited much of the imprisoned ex-governor Luis Fernando Camacho's support base—despite Camacho's 1.8% odds due to his Constitutional Court disqualification—bolstered by recent rallies and a mid-November Ciesmori poll showing Ritter edging ahead 41-39% amid Velasco's pushback on economic issues. The contest remains deadlocked as Santa Cruz voters weigh regional autonomy against MAS governance; a late scandal, turnout surge among indigenous blocs, or campaign gaffes could tip the balance toward a runoff or outright win.

Trader consensus prices Otto Ritter at 44.2% and Juan Pablo Velasco at 42.1% for Bolivia's Santa Cruz governor election on December 15, 2024, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by the region's strong anti-MAS opposition sentiment clashing with the national ruling party's organizational strength. Ritter, from Camacho's Creemos party, has inherited much of the imprisoned ex-governor Luis Fernando Camacho's support base—despite Camacho's 1.8% odds due to his Constitutional Court disqualification—bolstered by recent rallies and a mid-November Ciesmori poll showing Ritter edging ahead 41-39% amid Velasco's pushback on economic issues. The contest remains deadlocked as Santa Cruz voters weigh regional autonomy against MAS governance; a late scandal, turnout surge among indigenous blocs, or campaign gaffes could tip the balance toward a runoff or outright win.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥托·里特"，概率为 45%，其次是"胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科"，概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"已产生 $481.5K 的总交易量（自Jan 20, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"的当前领先者是"奥托·里特"，概率为 45%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科"，概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"圣克鲁斯州州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。