Recent polling in Dublin Central shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first-preference votes, yet Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis trails closely and draws strong second and subsequent preferences from centre-left and independent voters. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, this transfer pattern has positioned Ennis as the clear market leader among traders assessing the final count. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch remains a distant third, with his campaign overshadowed by recent public comments on immigration and ongoing legal scrutiny that have limited broader support. The May 22 by-election follows the resignation of former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, and with only days remaining, the outcome hinges on how preferences from eliminated candidates flow among the leading contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于丹尼尔·恩尼斯 73%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 18.5%
杰里·哈奇 4.6%
Ray McAdam 1.4%
$1,138,751 交易量
$1,138,751 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
73%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
19%
杰里·哈奇
5%
Ray McAdam
1%
马拉基·斯廷森
1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
丹尼尔·恩尼斯 73%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 18.5%
杰里·哈奇 4.6%
Ray McAdam 1.4%
$1,138,751 交易量
$1,138,751 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
$36,607 交易量
73%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
$20,359 交易量
19%
杰里·哈奇
$522,332 交易量
5%
Ray McAdam
$36,574 交易量
1%
马拉基·斯廷森
$24,179 交易量
1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
$15,436 交易量
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
$18,139 交易量
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
$191,620 交易量
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
$159,265 交易量
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$55,253 交易量
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$11,545 交易量
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
$47,442 交易量
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling in Dublin Central shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first-preference votes, yet Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis trails closely and draws strong second and subsequent preferences from centre-left and independent voters. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, this transfer pattern has positioned Ennis as the clear market leader among traders assessing the final count. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch remains a distant third, with his campaign overshadowed by recent public comments on immigration and ongoing legal scrutiny that have limited broader support. The May 22 by-election follows the resignation of former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, and with only days remaining, the outcome hinges on how preferences from eliminated candidates flow among the leading contenders.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
交易量
$1,138,751结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling in Dublin Central shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first-preference votes, yet Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis trails closely and draws strong second and subsequent preferences from centre-left and independent voters. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, this transfer pattern has positioned Ennis as the clear market leader among traders assessing the final count. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch remains a distant third, with his campaign overshadowed by recent public comments on immigration and ongoing legal scrutiny that have limited broader support. The May 22 by-election follows the resignation of former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, and with only days remaining, the outcome hinges on how preferences from eliminated candidates flow among the leading contenders.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
交易量
$1,138,751结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Dublin Central shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first-preference votes, yet Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis trails closely and draws strong second and subsequent preferences from centre-left and independent voters. Under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, this transfer pattern has positioned Ennis as the clear market leader among traders assessing the final count. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch remains a distant third, with his campaign overshadowed by recent public comments on immigration and ongoing legal scrutiny that have limited broader support. The May 22 by-election follows the resignation of former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, and with only days remaining, the outcome hinges on how preferences from eliminated candidates flow among the leading contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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