Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election market due to strong first-preference tallies from the May 22 vote, placing him well ahead of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan and all other contenders in ongoing counts. Traders reflect this lead through elevated odds on Ennis, consistent with his performance as the constituency’s Social Democrats representative and favorable transfer patterns from eliminated candidates. The vacancy arose from former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe’s resignation. While the outcome appears settled barring major procedural issues, late shifts in remaining transfers or official declaration anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the result before final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于丹尼尔·恩尼斯 98.0%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 1.7%
马拉基·斯廷森 <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,629,156 交易量
$4,629,156 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
98%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
2%
马拉基·斯廷森
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
<1%
Ray McAdam
<1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
<1%
杰里·哈奇
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
<1%
丹尼尔·恩尼斯 98.0%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 1.7%
马拉基·斯廷森 <1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%
$4,629,156 交易量
$4,629,156 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
$78,673 交易量
98%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
$64,676 交易量
2%
马拉基·斯廷森
$47,618 交易量
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$1,276,547 交易量
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
$538,627 交易量
<1%
Ray McAdam
$75,537 交易量
<1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
$59,318 交易量
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$1,193,064 交易量
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
$308,277 交易量
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
$40,751 交易量
<1%
杰里·哈奇
$616,028 交易量
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
$330,226 交易量
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election market due to strong first-preference tallies from the May 22 vote, placing him well ahead of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan and all other contenders in ongoing counts. Traders reflect this lead through elevated odds on Ennis, consistent with his performance as the constituency’s Social Democrats representative and favorable transfer patterns from eliminated candidates. The vacancy arose from former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe’s resignation. While the outcome appears settled barring major procedural issues, late shifts in remaining transfers or official declaration anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the result before final confirmation.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
交易量
$4,629,156结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election market due to strong first-preference tallies from the May 22 vote, placing him well ahead of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan and all other contenders in ongoing counts. Traders reflect this lead through elevated odds on Ennis, consistent with his performance as the constituency’s Social Democrats representative and favorable transfer patterns from eliminated candidates. The vacancy arose from former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe’s resignation. While the outcome appears settled barring major procedural issues, late shifts in remaining transfers or official declaration anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the result before final confirmation.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
交易量
$4,629,156结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Social Democrats candidate Daniel Ennis holds a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election market due to strong first-preference tallies from the May 22 vote, placing him well ahead of Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan and all other contenders in ongoing counts. Traders reflect this lead through elevated odds on Ennis, consistent with his performance as the constituency’s Social Democrats representative and favorable transfer patterns from eliminated candidates. The vacancy arose from former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe’s resignation. While the outcome appears settled barring major procedural issues, late shifts in remaining transfers or official declaration anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the result before final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题