Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats maintains a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election due to favorable transfer patterns under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent constituency polling showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet the fragmented left-leaning vote from candidates including Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens is expected to flow strongly to Ennis in later counts. Ongoing tallies from the May 22 vote have reinforced this positioning, with Ennis appearing likely to top the poll. A shift in transfer behavior or stronger consolidation behind Boylan could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before final results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于丹尼尔·恩尼斯 97.0%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 2.8%
Ray McAdam <1%
杰里·哈奇 <1%
$4,474,786 交易量
$4,474,786 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
97%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
3%
Ray McAdam
<1%
杰里·哈奇
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
马拉基·斯廷森
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
<1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
<1%
丹尼尔·恩尼斯 97.0%
贾尼斯·博伊兰 2.8%
Ray McAdam <1%
杰里·哈奇 <1%
$4,474,786 交易量
$4,474,786 交易量
2026-12-31
丹尼尔·恩尼斯
$62,719 交易量
97%
贾尼斯·博伊兰
$48,011 交易量
3%
Ray McAdam
$56,318 交易量
<1%
杰里·哈奇
$565,566 交易量
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$1,246,230 交易量
<1%
马拉基·斯廷森
$42,458 交易量
<1%
吉莉安·谢拉特
$538,627 交易量
<1%
伊恩·诺埃尔·史密斯
$59,318 交易量
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$1,193,064 交易量
<1%
玛丽·菲茨帕特里克
$308,277 交易量
<1%
珍妮特·霍纳
$37,151 交易量
<1%
约翰·斯蒂芬斯
$330,179 交易量
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats maintains a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election due to favorable transfer patterns under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent constituency polling showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet the fragmented left-leaning vote from candidates including Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens is expected to flow strongly to Ennis in later counts. Ongoing tallies from the May 22 vote have reinforced this positioning, with Ennis appearing likely to top the poll. A shift in transfer behavior or stronger consolidation behind Boylan could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before final results.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
交易量
$4,474,786结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats maintains a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election due to favorable transfer patterns under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent constituency polling showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet the fragmented left-leaning vote from candidates including Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens is expected to flow strongly to Ennis in later counts. Ongoing tallies from the May 22 vote have reinforced this positioning, with Ennis appearing likely to top the poll. A shift in transfer behavior or stronger consolidation behind Boylan could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before final results.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
交易量
$4,474,786结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats maintains a commanding lead in the Dublin Central by-election due to favorable transfer patterns under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent constituency polling showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet the fragmented left-leaning vote from candidates including Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens is expected to flow strongly to Ennis in later counts. Ongoing tallies from the May 22 vote have reinforced this positioning, with Ennis appearing likely to top the poll. A shift in transfer behavior or stronger consolidation behind Boylan could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before final results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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