Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 92.8% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, driven by official tallies from the National Electoral Council showing over 99% of precincts reported. Preliminary results confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) leading with the most seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly ahead of Partido de la U (La U) by a margin exceeding 10 seats, bolstered by strong regional performances in Liberal strongholds like the Caribbean and Pacific coasts. This positioning reflects consistent pre-election polling trends and low turnout favoring established parties. Realistic challenges include pending allocations in special indigenous and Afro-Colombian districts or rare legal recounts altering departmental curules, though margins make upsets improbable absent major disputes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） 92.8%
拉乌党（La U） 4.9%
民主中心党 (CD) 3.0%
哥伦比亚历史进步联盟（PH） <1%
$449,394 交易量
$449,394 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
93%
拉乌党（La U）
5%
民主中心党 (CD)
3%
哥伦比亚历史进步联盟（PH）
1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
<1%
绿色联盟（AV）
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
<1%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
<1%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） 92.8%
拉乌党（La U） 4.9%
民主中心党 (CD) 3.0%
哥伦比亚历史进步联盟（PH） <1%
$449,394 交易量
$449,394 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
$35,769 交易量
93%
拉乌党（La U）
$373,460 交易量
5%
民主中心党 (CD)
$32,202 交易量
3%
哥伦比亚历史进步联盟（PH）
$7,963 交易量
1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
$0 交易量
<1%
绿色联盟（AV）
$0 交易量
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
$0 交易量
<1%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 92.8% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, driven by official tallies from the National Electoral Council showing over 99% of precincts reported. Preliminary results confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) leading with the most seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly ahead of Partido de la U (La U) by a margin exceeding 10 seats, bolstered by strong regional performances in Liberal strongholds like the Caribbean and Pacific coasts. This positioning reflects consistent pre-election polling trends and low turnout favoring established parties. Realistic challenges include pending allocations in special indigenous and Afro-Colombian districts or rare legal recounts altering departmental curules, though margins make upsets improbable absent major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
交易量
$449,394结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 92.8% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, driven by official tallies from the National Electoral Council showing over 99% of precincts reported. Preliminary results confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) leading with the most seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly ahead of Partido de la U (La U) by a margin exceeding 10 seats, bolstered by strong regional performances in Liberal strongholds like the Caribbean and Pacific coasts. This positioning reflects consistent pre-election polling trends and low turnout favoring established parties. Realistic challenges include pending allocations in special indigenous and Afro-Colombian districts or rare legal recounts altering departmental curules, though margins make upsets improbable absent major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$449,394结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 92.8% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, driven by official tallies from the National Electoral Council showing over 99% of precincts reported. Preliminary results confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) leading with the most seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly ahead of Partido de la U (La U) by a margin exceeding 10 seats, bolstered by strong regional performances in Liberal strongholds like the Caribbean and Pacific coasts. This positioning reflects consistent pre-election polling trends and low turnout favoring established parties. Realistic challenges include pending allocations in special indigenous and Afro-Colombian districts or rare legal recounts altering departmental curules, though margins make upsets improbable absent major disputes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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