Skip to main content
icon for 哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名

哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名

icon for 哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名

哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名

哥伦比亚自由党(PLC) 100.0%

哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH) <1%

哥伦比亚保守党(保守党) <1%

绿色联盟(AV) <1%

Polymarket

$17,360,511 交易量

哥伦比亚自由党(PLC) 100.0%

哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH) <1%

哥伦比亚保守党(保守党) <1%

绿色联盟(AV) <1%

Polymarket

$17,360,511 交易量

icon for 哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH)

哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH)

$6,194,175 交易量

icon for 哥伦比亚保守党(保守党)

哥伦比亚保守党(保守党)

$1,224,213 交易量

icon for 哥伦比亚自由党(PLC)

哥伦比亚自由党(PLC)

$53,229 交易量

icon for 绿色联盟(AV)

绿色联盟(AV)

$1,349,999 交易量

icon for 民主中心党 (CD)

民主中心党 (CD)

$37,571 交易量

icon for 激进变革党(CR)

激进变革党(CR)

$1,439,223 交易量

icon for 拉乌党(La U)

拉乌党(La U)

$6,469,917 交易量

icon for MIRA-CJL联盟(MIRA-CJL)

MIRA-CJL联盟(MIRA-CJL)

$592,182 交易量

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, have positioned the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with the third-most seats under proportional representation across departmental circumscriptions, trailing the Historic Pact for Colombia and Partido Conservador Colombiano. This outcome reflects PLC's consistent vote share around 11-12% nationally, securing key seats in battleground regions amid a fragmented Congress lacking a clear majority. Trader consensus at near-certainty stems from over 99% of precincts reporting with no material discrepancies, despite minor ongoing special constituency allocations. Rare challenges like successful recounts, electoral tribunal rulings on irregularities, or coalition realignments could theoretically alter totals before December 31 resolution deadline, though historical precedents show such shifts are minimal.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$17,360,511
结束日期
2026-03-08
市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, have positioned the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with the third-most seats under proportional representation across departmental circumscriptions, trailing the Historic Pact for Colombia and Partido Conservador Colombiano. This outcome reflects PLC's consistent vote share around 11-12% nationally, securing key seats in battleground regions amid a fragmented Congress lacking a clear majority. Trader consensus at near-certainty stems from over 99% of precincts reporting with no material discrepancies, despite minor ongoing special constituency allocations. Rare challenges like successful recounts, electoral tribunal rulings on irregularities, or coalition realignments could theoretically alter totals before December 31 resolution deadline, though historical precedents show such shifts are minimal.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$17,360,511
结束日期
2026-03-08
市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哥伦比亚自由党(PLC)",概率为 100%,其次是"哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH)",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名"已产生 $17.4 million 的总交易量(自Mar 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名"的当前领先者是"哥伦比亚自由党(PLC)",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"哥伦比亚历史进步联盟(PH)",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哥伦比亚众议院选举:第三名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。