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政治·主要

新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者

格雷格·赫尔 56%

杜克·罗德里格斯 33%

史蒂夫·兰尼尔 3.3%

布赖恩·西勒森 1.2%

Polymarket

$729,279 交易量

格雷格·赫尔 56%

杜克·罗德里格斯 33%

史蒂夫·兰尼尔 3.3%

布赖恩·西勒森 1.2%

Polymarket

$729,279 交易量

格雷格·赫尔

$118,649 交易量

56%

杜克·罗德里格斯

$7,499 交易量

33%

史蒂夫·兰尼尔

$581,695 交易量

3%

布赖恩·西勒森

$2,320 交易量

1%

苏珊娜·马丁内斯

$4,052 交易量

1%

贝琳达·罗伯逊

$4,613 交易量

1%

朱迪思·中村

$5,914 交易量

1%

约翰·桑切斯

$2,160 交易量

<1%

马克·墨菲

$2,377 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Representative Greg Hull at 57% implied probability to win the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong early fundraising—over $450,000 raised by mid-2024—and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor Susana Martinez allies, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner for the open seat left by term-limited Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham. Former Sandoval County Sheriff Duke Rodriguez trails at 36.5%, bolstered by his law-and-order credentials appealing to the base amid border security concerns, following his January announcement and recent campaign events. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier lag due to limited visibility and resources, with the June 2026 primary timeline allowing shifts from upcoming debates, more polls, and field expansions.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Representative Greg Hull at 57% implied probability to win the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong early fundraising—over $450,000 raised by mid-2024—and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor Susana Martinez allies, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner for the open seat left by term-limited Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham. Former Sandoval County Sheriff Duke Rodriguez trails at 36.5%, bolstered by his law-and-order credentials appealing to the base amid border security concerns, following his January announcement and recent campaign events. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier lag due to limited visibility and resources, with the June 2026 primary timeline allowing shifts from upcoming debates, more polls, and field expansions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Representative Greg Hull at 57% implied probability to win the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong early fundraising—over $450,000 raised by mid-2024—and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor Susana Martinez allies, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner for the open seat left by term-limited Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham. Former Sandoval County Sheriff Duke Rodriguez trails at 36.5%, bolstered by his law-and-order credentials appealing to the base amid border security concerns, following his January announcement and recent campaign events. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier lag due to limited visibility and resources, with the June 2026 primary timeline allowing shifts from upcoming debates, more polls, and field expansions.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Representative Greg Hull at 57% implied probability to win the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong early fundraising—over $450,000 raised by mid-2024—and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor Susana Martinez allies, positioning him as the establishment frontrunner for the open seat left by term-limited Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham. Former Sandoval County Sheriff Duke Rodriguez trails at 36.5%, bolstered by his law-and-order credentials appealing to the base amid border security concerns, following his January announcement and recent campaign events. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier lag due to limited visibility and resources, with the June 2026 primary timeline allowing shifts from upcoming debates, more polls, and field expansions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"格雷格·赫尔"，概率为 56%，其次是"杜克·罗德里格斯"，概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $729.3K 的总交易量（自Dec 4, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"格雷格·赫尔"，概率为 56%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"杜克·罗德里格斯"，概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"新墨西哥州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。