Market icon
选举·格陵兰

下一任丹麦首相？

Market icon
选举·格陵兰

下一任丹麦首相？

梅特·弗雷泽里克森 91%

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 5.9%

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 2.0%

亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格 <1%

Polymarket

$4,147,280 交易量

梅特·弗雷泽里克森 91%

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 5.9%

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 2.0%

亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格 <1%

Polymarket

$4,147,280 交易量

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梅特·弗雷泽里克森

$1,018,474 交易量

91%

Market icon

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森

$1,340,307 交易量

6%

Market icon

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森

$623,137 交易量

2%

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亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格

$620,458 交易量

<1%

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莫娜·尤尔

$86,908 交易量

<1%

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莫滕·梅瑟施密特

$172,750 交易量

<1%

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拉斯·博耶·马蒂森

$75,740 交易量

<1%

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英厄·斯托伊贝格

$21,960 交易量

<1%

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马丁·利德高

$31,698 交易量

<1%

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皮娅·奥尔森·迪尔

$117,807 交易量

<1%

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佩莱·德拉格斯特

$44,696 交易量

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Mette Frederiksen at 90.5% implied probability to become the next Prime Minister, driven by her Social Democrats securing the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a vote share slump and no bloc achieving the 90-seat parliamentary majority. King Frederik X tasked her first as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, which began March 27 across left-leaning parties like Green Left and potentially centrist Moderates; she remains caretaker Prime Minister amid tradition favoring the largest party's leader. Challenges could arise if Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen (5.9%) pivot to a blue-bloc coalition, prompting an alternative formateur after stalled talks on welfare and green policies.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Mette Frederiksen at 90.5% implied probability to become the next Prime Minister, driven by her Social Democrats securing the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a vote share slump and no bloc achieving the 90-seat parliamentary majority. King Frederik X tasked her first as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, which began March 27 across left-leaning parties like Green Left and potentially centrist Moderates; she remains caretaker Prime Minister amid tradition favoring the largest party's leader. Challenges could arise if Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen (5.9%) pivot to a blue-bloc coalition, prompting an alternative formateur after stalled talks on welfare and green policies.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Mette Frederiksen at 90.5% implied probability to become the next Prime Minister, driven by her Social Democrats securing the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a vote share slump and no bloc achieving the 90-seat parliamentary majority. King Frederik X tasked her first as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, which began March 27 across left-leaning parties like Green Left and potentially centrist Moderates; she remains caretaker Prime Minister amid tradition favoring the largest party's leader. Challenges could arise if Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen (5.9%) pivot to a blue-bloc coalition, prompting an alternative formateur after stalled talks on welfare and green policies.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Mette Frederiksen at 90.5% implied probability to become the next Prime Minister, driven by her Social Democrats securing the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a vote share slump and no bloc achieving the 90-seat parliamentary majority. King Frederik X tasked her first as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, which began March 27 across left-leaning parties like Green Left and potentially centrist Moderates; she remains caretaker Prime Minister amid tradition favoring the largest party's leader. Challenges could arise if Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen (5.9%) pivot to a blue-bloc coalition, prompting an alternative formateur after stalled talks on welfare and green policies.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任丹麦首相？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"梅特·弗雷泽里克森"，概率为 91%，其次是"拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森"，概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下一任丹麦首相？"已产生 $4.1 million 的总交易量（自Feb 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任丹麦首相？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任丹麦首相？"的当前领先者是"梅特·弗雷泽里克森"，概率为 91%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森"，概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任丹麦首相？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。