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政治·参议院初选

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·参议院初选

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 37%

Justin Murphy 3.3%

Robert Lebovics 3.3%

Polymarket

$405,009 交易量

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 37%

Justin Murphy 3.3%

Robert Lebovics 3.3%

Polymarket

$405,009 交易量

Richard Tabor

$2,486 交易量

54%

Alex Zdan

$2,742 交易量

37%

Justin Murphy

$6,163 交易量

3%

Robert Lebovics

$253,340 交易量

3%

Steven Boston

$80,396 交易量

3%

Natalie Rivera

$44,019 交易量

1%

Vinnie Brand

$14,877 交易量

1%

Alina Habba

$985 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.

Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.

Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Richard Tabor"，概率为 54%，其次是"Alex Zdan"，概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner"已产生 $405K 的总交易量（自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"Richard Tabor"，概率为 54%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"Alex Zdan"，概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。