Mike Rogers commands 91% implied probability as the Michigan Republican Senate primary frontrunner on August 6, driven by recent withdrawals of key rivals Justin Amash (July 10) and Peter Meijer (July 11), consolidating support behind him. Late-July polls, including Target Insyght (Rogers 42%) and Fox News (37%), show him leading the fragmented field by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, the NRSC, and Club for Growth, plus superior fundraising. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the open-seat race to challenge Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late consolidator surge, or turnout surprises among conservative voters, though structural barriers favor Rogers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于迈克·罗杰斯 91%
肯特·本纳姆 5.3%
安德鲁·卡马尔 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
迈克·罗杰斯
91%
肯特·本纳姆
5%
安德鲁·卡马尔
3%
Fred Heurtebise
2%
吉内维芙·斯科特
1%
伯纳黛特·史密斯
1%
迈克·罗杰斯 91%
肯特·本纳姆 5.3%
安德鲁·卡马尔 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
迈克·罗杰斯
$0 交易量
91%
肯特·本纳姆
$0 交易量
5%
安德鲁·卡马尔
$0 交易量
3%
Fred Heurtebise
$0 交易量
2%
吉内维芙·斯科特
$0 交易量
1%
伯纳黛特·史密斯
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers commands 91% implied probability as the Michigan Republican Senate primary frontrunner on August 6, driven by recent withdrawals of key rivals Justin Amash (July 10) and Peter Meijer (July 11), consolidating support behind him. Late-July polls, including Target Insyght (Rogers 42%) and Fox News (37%), show him leading the fragmented field by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, the NRSC, and Club for Growth, plus superior fundraising. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the open-seat race to challenge Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late consolidator surge, or turnout surprises among conservative voters, though structural barriers favor Rogers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers commands 91% implied probability as the Michigan Republican Senate primary frontrunner on August 6, driven by recent withdrawals of key rivals Justin Amash (July 10) and Peter Meijer (July 11), consolidating support behind him. Late-July polls, including Target Insyght (Rogers 42%) and Fox News (37%), show him leading the fragmented field by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, the NRSC, and Club for Growth, plus superior fundraising. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the open-seat race to challenge Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late consolidator surge, or turnout surprises among conservative voters, though structural barriers favor Rogers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Rogers commands 91% implied probability as the Michigan Republican Senate primary frontrunner on August 6, driven by recent withdrawals of key rivals Justin Amash (July 10) and Peter Meijer (July 11), consolidating support behind him. Late-July polls, including Target Insyght (Rogers 42%) and Fox News (37%), show him leading the fragmented field by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, the NRSC, and Club for Growth, plus superior fundraising. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the open-seat race to challenge Democrat Elissa Slotkin. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late consolidator surge, or turnout surprises among conservative voters, though structural barriers favor Rogers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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