Chong Won-oh's commanding 81% implied probability in prediction markets reflects his emergence as the frontrunner in the Democratic Party's primary for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, bolstered by recent polls showing the opposition DP leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon amid the ruling People Power Party's three-way primary featuring Oh, Park Ju-min, and others. Over the past week, DP narrowed its contenders to three on March 24, while PPP confirmed its trio on March 23, with Oh registering his candidacy on March 17 despite ongoing trial over alleged poll payments. Trader consensus anticipates Chong's nomination and a favorable Seoul electorate shift, though PPP primary outcomes and national sentiment could narrow the general election race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于郑元昊 81%
吴世勋 12%
朴柱民 6.1%
那景瑗 <1%
$8,387,896 交易量
$8,387,896 交易量
郑元昊
81%
吴世勋
12%
朴柱民
6%
那景瑗
<1%
全炫熙
<1%
赵银熙
<1%
安哲秀
<1%
朴用镇
<1%
洪翼杓
<1%
曹國
<1%
姜勋植
<1%
韩东勋
<1%
朴洪根
<1%
徐瑛教
<1%
郑元昊 81%
吴世勋 12%
朴柱民 6.1%
那景瑗 <1%
$8,387,896 交易量
$8,387,896 交易量
郑元昊
81%
吴世勋
12%
朴柱民
6%
那景瑗
<1%
全炫熙
<1%
赵银熙
<1%
安哲秀
<1%
朴用镇
<1%
洪翼杓
<1%
曹國
<1%
姜勋植
<1%
韩东勋
<1%
朴洪根
<1%
徐瑛教
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chong Won-oh's commanding 81% implied probability in prediction markets reflects his emergence as the frontrunner in the Democratic Party's primary for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, bolstered by recent polls showing the opposition DP leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon amid the ruling People Power Party's three-way primary featuring Oh, Park Ju-min, and others. Over the past week, DP narrowed its contenders to three on March 24, while PPP confirmed its trio on March 23, with Oh registering his candidacy on March 17 despite ongoing trial over alleged poll payments. Trader consensus anticipates Chong's nomination and a favorable Seoul electorate shift, though PPP primary outcomes and national sentiment could narrow the general election race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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