President Donald Trump's active participation in a March 26 cabinet meeting and issuance of executive orders on cyber strategy and housing regulations signal operational continuity in his administration, bolstering trader consensus at 82.5% "No" on early departure before 2027. Absent any active impeachment proceedings in the Republican-controlled Congress, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or credible resignation signals, markets reflect the high procedural barriers to removal—requiring two-thirds Senate approval post-impeachment or VP-cabinet consensus. Democratic predictions like James Carville's March 19 claim of resignation by March 2027 or Gavin Newsom's midterm warnings remain partisan speculation without momentum, while minor health reports pose no threat; 2026 midterms loom as a potential catalyst for investigations but unlikely to trigger ouster given historical precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$5,144,911 交易量
$5,144,911 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$5,144,911 交易量
$5,144,911 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's active participation in a March 26 cabinet meeting and issuance of executive orders on cyber strategy and housing regulations signal operational continuity in his administration, bolstering trader consensus at 82.5% "No" on early departure before 2027. Absent any active impeachment proceedings in the Republican-controlled Congress, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or credible resignation signals, markets reflect the high procedural barriers to removal—requiring two-thirds Senate approval post-impeachment or VP-cabinet consensus. Democratic predictions like James Carville's March 19 claim of resignation by March 2027 or Gavin Newsom's midterm warnings remain partisan speculation without momentum, while minor health reports pose no threat; 2026 midterms loom as a potential catalyst for investigations but unlikely to trigger ouster given historical precedents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$5,144,911结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's active participation in a March 26 cabinet meeting and issuance of executive orders on cyber strategy and housing regulations signal operational continuity in his administration, bolstering trader consensus at 82.5% "No" on early departure before 2027. Absent any active impeachment proceedings in the Republican-controlled Congress, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or credible resignation signals, markets reflect the high procedural barriers to removal—requiring two-thirds Senate approval post-impeachment or VP-cabinet consensus. Democratic predictions like James Carville's March 19 claim of resignation by March 2027 or Gavin Newsom's midterm warnings remain partisan speculation without momentum, while minor health reports pose no threat; 2026 midterms loom as a potential catalyst for investigations but unlikely to trigger ouster given historical precedents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,144,911结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's active participation in a March 26 cabinet meeting and issuance of executive orders on cyber strategy and housing regulations signal operational continuity in his administration, bolstering trader consensus at 82.5% "No" on early departure before 2027. Absent any active impeachment proceedings in the Republican-controlled Congress, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or credible resignation signals, markets reflect the high procedural barriers to removal—requiring two-thirds Senate approval post-impeachment or VP-cabinet consensus. Democratic predictions like James Carville's March 19 claim of resignation by March 2027 or Gavin Newsom's midterm warnings remain partisan speculation without momentum, while minor health reports pose no threat; 2026 midterms loom as a potential catalyst for investigations but unlikely to trigger ouster given historical precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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