Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M 交易量

$132K Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

31%

Bad Bunny

$1.1K 交易量

$22.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner

100%

Edouard Philippe

$66.9K 交易量

$60.3K Liq.

18

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.0K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?

60%

$2.4K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

75%

Not revealed in 2026

$0 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

84%

Epic Fury

$647 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

20%

Embargo

$464K 交易量

$257K today

$7.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 13 hours

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

34%

December 31

$947K 交易量

$51.1K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

91%

Operation Epic Fury

$494 交易量

$20.7K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

70%

ECSTATIC

$0 交易量

$477 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

34%

$6.1K 交易量

$6.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

31%

$133K 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

68%

Peace Through Strength

$720 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)

What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)

47%

Trump derangement / Trump deranged

$89.9K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

23%

$0 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?

8%

$1.1K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

30%

Sudan

$145K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 days

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

3%

$704 交易量

$596 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 MAGA 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 120 个活跃的 MAGA 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $3.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?",市场目前认为 May 14 的概率为 2%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 MAGA 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。