Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$38.9K Liq.

88

Ends in 3 months

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

1%

$0 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

<1%

$2M 交易量

$31.1K Liq.

22

Ends in 3 days

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

9%

Before 2027

$2M 交易量

$41.0K Liq.

43

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$404K 交易量

$127K Liq.

21

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

5%

$0 交易量

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

49%

December 31

$77M 交易量

$3M today

$2M Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

60%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$1M 交易量

$546K today

$215K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$93.4K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

16%

$32.0K 交易量

$22.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$107K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

54

Ends in 3 months

Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

<1%

$12M 交易量

$240K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

54%

December 31

$5M 交易量

$191K today

$235K Liq.

880

Ends in 9 months

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

76%

Daniel Ennis

$455K 交易量

$168K today

$99.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

66%

Delcy Rodríguez

$78M 交易量

$119K today

$1M Liq.

202

Ends in 9 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

57%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$3M 交易量

$84.3K today

$387K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

2%

$57.7K 交易量

$131K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

$8M 交易量

$170K Liq.

705

Ends in 9 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

1%

$54.5K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

67%

December 31

$10M 交易量

$192K Liq.

351

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 辞职 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 207 个活跃的 辞职 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Macron out by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $201.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Venezuela leader end of 2026?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Venezuela leader end of 2026?",市场目前认为 Delcy Rodríguez 的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 辞职 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。