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辞职 预测与赔率

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$46.6K Liq.

93

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K 交易量

$150K Liq.

28

Ends 8 个月内

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

7%

$16.7K 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

12%

Before 2027

$3M 交易量

$58.7K Liq.

43

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M 交易量

$62.2K today

$362K Liq.

33

Ends 8 个月内

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

19%

$54.8K 交易量

$21.2K Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$101K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K 交易量

$33.0K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K 交易量

$32.5K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

69%

June 30

$110K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

54

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$284K 交易量

$107K Liq.

73

Ends 8 个月内

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

98%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M 交易量

$210K today

$647K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$13M 交易量

$156K today

$298K Liq.

1,073

Ends 8 个月内

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$777K 交易量

$57.2K today

$288K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M 交易量

$467K Liq.

705

Ends 8 个月内

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

69%

December 31

$17M 交易量

$104K today

$164K Liq.

707

Ends 4 个月前

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

62%

Nicolás Maduro

$87M 交易量

$878K Liq.

328

Ends 8 个月内

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

21%

$378K 交易量

$24.4K Liq.

140

Ends 24 天内

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M 交易量

$92.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$5M 交易量

$450K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 辞职 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 213 个活跃的 辞职 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Macron out by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $266.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 辞职 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。