Emmanuel Macron’s second and final presidential term ends on May 13, 2027, under France’s constitutional two-term limit, after which he has repeatedly stated he will leave politics entirely. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections produced multiple prime ministerial changes and no-confidence threats through late 2025, prompting opposition calls for early resignation that Macron rejected while emphasizing institutional stability. The 2026 budget ultimately passed in early 2026 after concessions, reducing immediate deadlock risks, though the minority government remains vulnerable to further procedural defeats. No comparable escalatory events have occurred in the past month, leaving the scheduled 2027 presidential contest as the primary fixed timeline for any transition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,004,167 交易量
2026-06-30
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
1%
$2,004,167 交易量
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
$412,323 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second and final presidential term ends on May 13, 2027, under France’s constitutional two-term limit, after which he has repeatedly stated he will leave politics entirely. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections produced multiple prime ministerial changes and no-confidence threats through late 2025, prompting opposition calls for early resignation that Macron rejected while emphasizing institutional stability. The 2026 budget ultimately passed in early 2026 after concessions, reducing immediate deadlock risks, though the minority government remains vulnerable to further procedural defeats. No comparable escalatory events have occurred in the past month, leaving the scheduled 2027 presidential contest as the primary fixed timeline for any transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$2,004,167结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second and final presidential term ends on May 13, 2027, under France’s constitutional two-term limit, after which he has repeatedly stated he will leave politics entirely. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections produced multiple prime ministerial changes and no-confidence threats through late 2025, prompting opposition calls for early resignation that Macron rejected while emphasizing institutional stability. The 2026 budget ultimately passed in early 2026 after concessions, reducing immediate deadlock risks, though the minority government remains vulnerable to further procedural defeats. No comparable escalatory events have occurred in the past month, leaving the scheduled 2027 presidential contest as the primary fixed timeline for any transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,004,167结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron’s second and final presidential term ends on May 13, 2027, under France’s constitutional two-term limit, after which he has repeatedly stated he will leave politics entirely. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap legislative elections produced multiple prime ministerial changes and no-confidence threats through late 2025, prompting opposition calls for early resignation that Macron rejected while emphasizing institutional stability. The 2026 budget ultimately passed in early 2026 after concessions, reducing immediate deadlock risks, though the minority government remains vulnerable to further procedural defeats. No comparable escalatory events have occurred in the past month, leaving the scheduled 2027 presidential contest as the primary fixed timeline for any transition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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