French President Emmanuel Macron faces ongoing political instability following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4, 2024, via a historic no-confidence vote—the first since 1962—passed by a left-wing and far-right coalition over the 2025 budget impasse. This stems from the hung parliament after Macron's July snap election call, where his centrist alliance placed second behind a left bloc, complicating governance. Macron has rejected resignation calls, vowing stability, and must soon nominate a new prime minister amid coalition negotiations, potentially a technocrat like François Bayrou, to pass appropriations and avoid shutdown risks. No dissolution is possible until mid-2025, leaving trader consensus focused on short-term maneuvering rather than Macron's early exit before his 2027 term end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,884,403 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
3%
$1,884,403 交易量
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
$292,559 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron faces ongoing political instability following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4, 2024, via a historic no-confidence vote—the first since 1962—passed by a left-wing and far-right coalition over the 2025 budget impasse. This stems from the hung parliament after Macron's July snap election call, where his centrist alliance placed second behind a left bloc, complicating governance. Macron has rejected resignation calls, vowing stability, and must soon nominate a new prime minister amid coalition negotiations, potentially a technocrat like François Bayrou, to pass appropriations and avoid shutdown risks. No dissolution is possible until mid-2025, leaving trader consensus focused on short-term maneuvering rather than Macron's early exit before his 2027 term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,884,403结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron faces ongoing political instability following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4, 2024, via a historic no-confidence vote—the first since 1962—passed by a left-wing and far-right coalition over the 2025 budget impasse. This stems from the hung parliament after Macron's July snap election call, where his centrist alliance placed second behind a left bloc, complicating governance. Macron has rejected resignation calls, vowing stability, and must soon nominate a new prime minister amid coalition negotiations, potentially a technocrat like François Bayrou, to pass appropriations and avoid shutdown risks. No dissolution is possible until mid-2025, leaving trader consensus focused on short-term maneuvering rather than Macron's early exit before his 2027 term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,884,403结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron faces ongoing political instability following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4, 2024, via a historic no-confidence vote—the first since 1962—passed by a left-wing and far-right coalition over the 2025 budget impasse. This stems from the hung parliament after Macron's July snap election call, where his centrist alliance placed second behind a left bloc, complicating governance. Macron has rejected resignation calls, vowing stability, and must soon nominate a new prime minister amid coalition negotiations, potentially a technocrat like François Bayrou, to pass appropriations and avoid shutdown risks. No dissolution is possible until mid-2025, leaving trader consensus focused on short-term maneuvering rather than Macron's early exit before his 2027 term end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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