JD Vance leads trader consensus at 20.1% for the 2028 presidential election winner on Polymarket, buoyed by his vice-presidential role under President-elect Trump following the 2024 GOP victory, positioning him as a natural Republican successor amid term limits. Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.9%, drawing bets as a prominent Democratic governor actively building a national profile through media appearances and party outreach post-Harris defeat. Marco Rubio's 11.7% reflects his Senate influence and potential cabinet elevation. The tight race persists due to three years of uncertainty, including 2026 midterms, economic performance under the incoming administration, and emerging primary contenders; separation could arise from Vance's White House visibility, Democratic unity around a nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting voter coalitions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于JD Vance 20.1%
加文·纽瑟姆 17.9%
马尔科·鲁比奥 11.7%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯 4.8%
$438,755,580 交易量
$438,755,580 交易量

JD Vance
20%

加文·纽瑟姆
18%

马尔科·鲁比奥
12%

亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
5%

乔恩·奥索夫
4%

卡马拉·哈里斯
3%

分组项标题:塔克·卡尔森
3%

唐纳德·特朗普
3%

乔什·沙皮罗
2%

彼得·布蒂吉格
2%

分组项标题:JB Pritzker
2%

道恩·“巨石”强森
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

安迪·贝塞尔
1%

分组项目标题:伊万卡·特朗普
1%

米歇尔·奥巴马
1%

埃隆·马斯克
1%

分组项标题:格雷琴·惠特默
1%

分组项标题:杰米·戴蒙
1%

维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%

分组项标题:韦斯·摩尔
1%

图尔西·加巴德
1%

尼基·黑利
1%

格雷格·阿博特
1%

托马斯·马西
1%

詹姆斯·塔拉里科
1%

唐纳德·特朗普二世
1%

罗·卡纳
1%

斯蒂芬·史密斯
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%

分组项标题:Zohran Mamdani
1%

皮特·海格塞斯
1%

分组条目标题:蒂姆·沃尔茨
1%

格伦·杨金
1%

埃里克·特朗普
1%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
1%
JD Vance 20.1%
加文·纽瑟姆 17.9%
马尔科·鲁比奥 11.7%
亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯 4.8%
$438,755,580 交易量
$438,755,580 交易量

JD Vance
20%

加文·纽瑟姆
18%

马尔科·鲁比奥
12%

亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
5%

乔恩·奥索夫
4%

卡马拉·哈里斯
3%

分组项标题:塔克·卡尔森
3%

唐纳德·特朗普
3%

乔什·沙皮罗
2%

彼得·布蒂吉格
2%

分组项标题:JB Pritzker
2%

道恩·“巨石”强森
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

安迪·贝塞尔
1%

分组项目标题:伊万卡·特朗普
1%

米歇尔·奥巴马
1%

埃隆·马斯克
1%

分组项标题:格雷琴·惠特默
1%

分组项标题:杰米·戴蒙
1%

维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%

分组项标题:韦斯·摩尔
1%

图尔西·加巴德
1%

尼基·黑利
1%

格雷格·阿博特
1%

托马斯·马西
1%

詹姆斯·塔拉里科
1%

唐纳德·特朗普二世
1%

罗·卡纳
1%

斯蒂芬·史密斯
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%

分组项标题:Zohran Mamdani
1%

皮特·海格塞斯
1%

分组条目标题:蒂姆·沃尔茨
1%

格伦·杨金
1%

埃里克·特朗普
1%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance leads trader consensus at 20.1% for the 2028 presidential election winner on Polymarket, buoyed by his vice-presidential role under President-elect Trump following the 2024 GOP victory, positioning him as a natural Republican successor amid term limits. Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.9%, drawing bets as a prominent Democratic governor actively building a national profile through media appearances and party outreach post-Harris defeat. Marco Rubio's 11.7% reflects his Senate influence and potential cabinet elevation. The tight race persists due to three years of uncertainty, including 2026 midterms, economic performance under the incoming administration, and emerging primary contenders; separation could arise from Vance's White House visibility, Democratic unity around a nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting voter coalitions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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