Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certainty that former President Donald Trump will post on Truth Social during March 23-29, reflecting his daily average of 10-20 messages amid ongoing legal battles and the 2024 campaign. Recent posts have heavily focused on criticizing the Biden administration's border policies and what Trump calls "weaponized" prosecutions in his New York hush money case, with odds favoring similar themes at 60-70% implied probability. A March 25 federal appeals court hearing on Trump's presidential immunity claim and potential campaign stops could amplify posts on judicial bias or election integrity, while traders watch for any lull tied to private jet travel or strategy shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NATO
75%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
27%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
53%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
27%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
39%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
38%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
49%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
$139 交易量
NATO
75%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
27%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
53%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
27%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
39%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
38%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
49%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certainty that former President Donald Trump will post on Truth Social during March 23-29, reflecting his daily average of 10-20 messages amid ongoing legal battles and the 2024 campaign. Recent posts have heavily focused on criticizing the Biden administration's border policies and what Trump calls "weaponized" prosecutions in his New York hush money case, with odds favoring similar themes at 60-70% implied probability. A March 25 federal appeals court hearing on Trump's presidential immunity claim and potential campaign stops could amplify posts on judicial bias or election integrity, while traders watch for any lull tied to private jet travel or strategy shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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