Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or scheduled diplomacy since Trump's November election win. Putin congratulated the president-elect and expressed openness to dialogue, while Trump stated he would speak with Putin "very shortly" in recent interviews, yet logistical hurdles persist amid the ongoing Ukraine war, where Putin demands territorial concessions and NATO reassurances. Putin's ICC arrest warrant limits travel to many nations, deterring U.S. or allied hosts, as seen in low odds for locations like Switzerland (0.9%) or Turkey (1.5%). Trump's January 20 inauguration and early focus on cabinet confirmations, domestic priorities, and Ukraine peace talks further delay prospects, with traders pricing in extended negotiations over a near-term summit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于6月30日前无会面 81.6%
其他欧盟国家 3.5%
其他 2.9%
俄罗斯 2.1%
$3,429,735 交易量
$3,429,735 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
6月30日前无会面
82%
其他欧盟国家
4%
其他
3%
俄罗斯
2%
中国
2%
美国
2%
海湾国家
2%
土耳其
1%
白俄罗斯
1%
瑞士
1%
日本
<1%
韩国
<1%
分组项标题：芬兰
<1%
分组项标题：乌克兰
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
6月30日前无会面 81.6%
其他欧盟国家 3.5%
其他 2.9%
俄罗斯 2.1%
$3,429,735 交易量
$3,429,735 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
6月30日前无会面
$756,785 交易量
82%
其他欧盟国家
$605,250 交易量
4%
其他
$370,734 交易量
3%
俄罗斯
$538,085 交易量
2%
中国
$262,028 交易量
2%
美国
$167,781 交易量
2%
海湾国家
$0 交易量
2%
土耳其
$305,062 交易量
1%
白俄罗斯
$0 交易量
1%
瑞士
$129,444 交易量
1%
日本
$100,889 交易量
<1%
韩国
$0 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：芬兰
$0 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：乌克兰
$115,480 交易量
<1%
澳大利亚
$78,198 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or scheduled diplomacy since Trump's November election win. Putin congratulated the president-elect and expressed openness to dialogue, while Trump stated he would speak with Putin "very shortly" in recent interviews, yet logistical hurdles persist amid the ongoing Ukraine war, where Putin demands territorial concessions and NATO reassurances. Putin's ICC arrest warrant limits travel to many nations, deterring U.S. or allied hosts, as seen in low odds for locations like Switzerland (0.9%) or Turkey (1.5%). Trump's January 20 inauguration and early focus on cabinet confirmations, domestic priorities, and Ukraine peace talks further delay prospects, with traders pricing in extended negotiations over a near-term summit.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
交易量
$3,429,735结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or scheduled diplomacy since Trump's November election win. Putin congratulated the president-elect and expressed openness to dialogue, while Trump stated he would speak with Putin "very shortly" in recent interviews, yet logistical hurdles persist amid the ongoing Ukraine war, where Putin demands territorial concessions and NATO reassurances. Putin's ICC arrest warrant limits travel to many nations, deterring U.S. or allied hosts, as seen in low odds for locations like Switzerland (0.9%) or Turkey (1.5%). Trump's January 20 inauguration and early focus on cabinet confirmations, domestic priorities, and Ukraine peace talks further delay prospects, with traders pricing in extended negotiations over a near-term summit.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,429,735结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or scheduled diplomacy since Trump's November election win. Putin congratulated the president-elect and expressed openness to dialogue, while Trump stated he would speak with Putin "very shortly" in recent interviews, yet logistical hurdles persist amid the ongoing Ukraine war, where Putin demands territorial concessions and NATO reassurances. Putin's ICC arrest warrant limits travel to many nations, deterring U.S. or allied hosts, as seen in low odds for locations like Switzerland (0.9%) or Turkey (1.5%). Trump's January 20 inauguration and early focus on cabinet confirmations, domestic priorities, and Ukraine peace talks further delay prospects, with traders pricing in extended negotiations over a near-term summit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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