Amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions in the ongoing 2026 conflict, trader sentiment reflects no confirmed Israeli kinetic military action against the fortified underground Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant over the past 30 days, despite airstrikes on other nuclear-linked sites like Natanz and covert facilities in March. Late April reports indicate Israel preparing energy infrastructure strikes following collapsed negotiations and U.S. authorization, but Fordow's mountain-embedded defenses—bolstered by recent Iranian long-range missile deployments—pose significant barriers to attack without major escalation. Prior U.S.-Israeli operations in the 2025 Twelve-Day War damaged the site, yet diplomatic pressures, Strait of Hormuz maneuvers, and war wind-down signals maintain restraint, with potential shifts from failed talks or proxy flare-ups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$422,156 交易量
2026-04-15
4月15日
否
4月30日
否
$422,156 交易量
4月15日
$142,313 交易量
否
4月30日
$279,843 交易量
否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions in the ongoing 2026 conflict, trader sentiment reflects no confirmed Israeli kinetic military action against the fortified underground Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant over the past 30 days, despite airstrikes on other nuclear-linked sites like Natanz and covert facilities in March. Late April reports indicate Israel preparing energy infrastructure strikes following collapsed negotiations and U.S. authorization, but Fordow's mountain-embedded defenses—bolstered by recent Iranian long-range missile deployments—pose significant barriers to attack without major escalation. Prior U.S.-Israeli operations in the 2025 Twelve-Day War damaged the site, yet diplomatic pressures, Strait of Hormuz maneuvers, and war wind-down signals maintain restraint, with potential shifts from failed talks or proxy flare-ups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$422,156结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions in the ongoing 2026 conflict, trader sentiment reflects no confirmed Israeli kinetic military action against the fortified underground Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant over the past 30 days, despite airstrikes on other nuclear-linked sites like Natanz and covert facilities in March. Late April reports indicate Israel preparing energy infrastructure strikes following collapsed negotiations and U.S. authorization, but Fordow's mountain-embedded defenses—bolstered by recent Iranian long-range missile deployments—pose significant barriers to attack without major escalation. Prior U.S.-Israeli operations in the 2025 Twelve-Day War damaged the site, yet diplomatic pressures, Strait of Hormuz maneuvers, and war wind-down signals maintain restraint, with potential shifts from failed talks or proxy flare-ups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$422,156结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions in the ongoing 2026 conflict, trader sentiment reflects no confirmed Israeli kinetic military action against the fortified underground Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant over the past 30 days, despite airstrikes on other nuclear-linked sites like Natanz and covert facilities in March. Late April reports indicate Israel preparing energy infrastructure strikes following collapsed negotiations and U.S. authorization, but Fordow's mountain-embedded defenses—bolstered by recent Iranian long-range missile deployments—pose significant barriers to attack without major escalation. Prior U.S.-Israeli operations in the 2025 Twelve-Day War damaged the site, yet diplomatic pressures, Strait of Hormuz maneuvers, and war wind-down signals maintain restraint, with potential shifts from failed talks or proxy flare-ups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题