In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict that escalated in early March 2026, joint airstrikes—including US B-2 bomber operations—targeted Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant alongside Natanz and Isfahan, inflicting significant damage and delaying Tehran's nuclear breakout capacity by years according to intelligence assessments. Recent de-escalation signals, such as a US-enforced Strait of Hormuz blockade pause and Iranian officials expressing compromise willingness in nuclear negotiations as of mid-April, have cooled escalation risks. Traders price low odds for further Israeli military action against the deeply buried Fordow site before month-end, amid diplomatic talks and IAEA monitoring, though renewed Iranian missile tests or proxy attacks could prompt retaliation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$277,727 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
5%
$277,727 交易量
4月30日
$135,414 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict that escalated in early March 2026, joint airstrikes—including US B-2 bomber operations—targeted Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant alongside Natanz and Isfahan, inflicting significant damage and delaying Tehran's nuclear breakout capacity by years according to intelligence assessments. Recent de-escalation signals, such as a US-enforced Strait of Hormuz blockade pause and Iranian officials expressing compromise willingness in nuclear negotiations as of mid-April, have cooled escalation risks. Traders price low odds for further Israeli military action against the deeply buried Fordow site before month-end, amid diplomatic talks and IAEA monitoring, though renewed Iranian missile tests or proxy attacks could prompt retaliation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$277,727结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict that escalated in early March 2026, joint airstrikes—including US B-2 bomber operations—targeted Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant alongside Natanz and Isfahan, inflicting significant damage and delaying Tehran's nuclear breakout capacity by years according to intelligence assessments. Recent de-escalation signals, such as a US-enforced Strait of Hormuz blockade pause and Iranian officials expressing compromise willingness in nuclear negotiations as of mid-April, have cooled escalation risks. Traders price low odds for further Israeli military action against the deeply buried Fordow site before month-end, amid diplomatic talks and IAEA monitoring, though renewed Iranian missile tests or proxy attacks could prompt retaliation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$277,727结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict that escalated in early March 2026, joint airstrikes—including US B-2 bomber operations—targeted Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant alongside Natanz and Isfahan, inflicting significant damage and delaying Tehran's nuclear breakout capacity by years according to intelligence assessments. Recent de-escalation signals, such as a US-enforced Strait of Hormuz blockade pause and Iranian officials expressing compromise willingness in nuclear negotiations as of mid-April, have cooled escalation risks. Traders price low odds for further Israeli military action against the deeply buried Fordow site before month-end, amid diplomatic talks and IAEA monitoring, though renewed Iranian missile tests or proxy attacks could prompt retaliation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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