Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
德尔西·罗德里格斯 66%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 16.9%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 12%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 1.1%
$77,475,466 交易量
$77,475,466 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
德尔西·罗德里格斯
66%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
17%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
12%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
1%
没有国家元首
1%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
<1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
丹·凯恩
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 66%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 16.9%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 12%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 1.1%
$77,475,466 交易量
$77,475,466 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
德尔西·罗德里格斯
$1,251,021 交易量
66%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$878,411 交易量
17%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$838,228 交易量
12%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$418,815 交易量
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$1,244,359 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$686,636 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$738,977 交易量
1%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
$862,908 交易量
1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$0 交易量
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$651,593 交易量
<1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$2,057,585 交易量
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
$8,142,349 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$24,625,435 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$2,739,965 交易量
<1%
丹·凯恩
$1,959,274 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$30,379,943 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$77,475,466结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$77,475,466结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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