President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,722,907 交易量
2026-03-31
3月1日
否
3月2日
否
3月7日
否
3月15日
否
3月31日
否
4月7日
否
4月15日
否
4月21日
否
4月24日
否
4月30日
否
5月31日
是
6月30日
是
$44,722,907 交易量
3月1日
$62,834 交易量
否
3月2日
$128,313 交易量
否
3月7日
$0 交易量
否
3月15日
$0 交易量
否
3月31日
$5,173,902 交易量
否
4月7日
$3,147,132 交易量
否
4月15日
$9,488,906 交易量
否
4月21日
$4,913,838 交易量
否
4月24日
$924,036 交易量
否
4月30日
$13,050,669 交易量
否
5月31日
$4,090,017 交易量
是
6月30日
$3,743,260 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
交易量
$44,722,907结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$44,722,907结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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