President Trump's US military campaign against Iran, launched in early March 2026 under Operation Epic Fury, has significantly degraded Tehran's air force, navy, missile capabilities, and defense infrastructure through airstrikes, prompting trader focus on de-escalation signals. Over the past week, Trump extended pauses on strikes against Iranian energy sites multiple times—most recently for 10 days as of March 26—to facilitate indirect negotiations via a 15-point US proposal demanding nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz reopening, which Iran is reviewing despite public denials. On March 30, Trump claimed effective regime change and progress toward a deal, though no formal end to operations has been announced amid ongoing retaliatory exchanges and Pentagon ground operation preparations. Upcoming negotiation outcomes or strike resumptions could determine resolution timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$7,706,343 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
3%
4月7日
9%
4月15日
19%
4月30日
39%
6月30日
66%
$7,706,343 交易量
3月31日
$4,767,072 交易量
3%
4月7日
$206,327 交易量
9%
4月15日
$602,433 交易量
19%
4月30日
$1,329,356 交易量
39%
6月30日
$610,010 交易量
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's US military campaign against Iran, launched in early March 2026 under Operation Epic Fury, has significantly degraded Tehran's air force, navy, missile capabilities, and defense infrastructure through airstrikes, prompting trader focus on de-escalation signals. Over the past week, Trump extended pauses on strikes against Iranian energy sites multiple times—most recently for 10 days as of March 26—to facilitate indirect negotiations via a 15-point US proposal demanding nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz reopening, which Iran is reviewing despite public denials. On March 30, Trump claimed effective regime change and progress toward a deal, though no formal end to operations has been announced amid ongoing retaliatory exchanges and Pentagon ground operation preparations. Upcoming negotiation outcomes or strike resumptions could determine resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
交易量
$7,706,343结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's US military campaign against Iran, launched in early March 2026 under Operation Epic Fury, has significantly degraded Tehran's air force, navy, missile capabilities, and defense infrastructure through airstrikes, prompting trader focus on de-escalation signals. Over the past week, Trump extended pauses on strikes against Iranian energy sites multiple times—most recently for 10 days as of March 26—to facilitate indirect negotiations via a 15-point US proposal demanding nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz reopening, which Iran is reviewing despite public denials. On March 30, Trump claimed effective regime change and progress toward a deal, though no formal end to operations has been announced amid ongoing retaliatory exchanges and Pentagon ground operation preparations. Upcoming negotiation outcomes or strike resumptions could determine resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,706,343结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's US military campaign against Iran, launched in early March 2026 under Operation Epic Fury, has significantly degraded Tehran's air force, navy, missile capabilities, and defense infrastructure through airstrikes, prompting trader focus on de-escalation signals. Over the past week, Trump extended pauses on strikes against Iranian energy sites multiple times—most recently for 10 days as of March 26—to facilitate indirect negotiations via a 15-point US proposal demanding nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz reopening, which Iran is reviewing despite public denials. On March 30, Trump claimed effective regime change and progress toward a deal, though no formal end to operations has been announced amid ongoing retaliatory exchanges and Pentagon ground operation preparations. Upcoming negotiation outcomes or strike resumptions could determine resolution timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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