US military operations against Iran, launched as Operation Epic Fury in late February 2026 to neutralize nuclear threats and regime capabilities, remain active into their fifth week, with Trump claiming strikes are "extremely ahead of schedule" after degrading Iran's army, navy, and air force. Recent heaviest airstrikes targeted military sites despite trader bets on a near-term end, while Trump paused attacks on energy plants and the power grid until April 6 amid negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz—Iran is reviewing a US proposal but calls it "maximalist." Diplomatic talks, Iranian retaliations, and potential ground preparations sustain uncertainty, with no end announcement yet; traders eye the deadline and mediation outcomes for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$7,706,342 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
3%
4月7日
9%
4月15日
19%
4月30日
39%
6月30日
66%
$7,706,342 交易量
3月31日
$4,767,072 交易量
3%
4月7日
$206,326 交易量
9%
4月15日
$602,433 交易量
19%
4月30日
$1,329,356 交易量
39%
6月30日
$610,009 交易量
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, launched as Operation Epic Fury in late February 2026 to neutralize nuclear threats and regime capabilities, remain active into their fifth week, with Trump claiming strikes are "extremely ahead of schedule" after degrading Iran's army, navy, and air force. Recent heaviest airstrikes targeted military sites despite trader bets on a near-term end, while Trump paused attacks on energy plants and the power grid until April 6 amid negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz—Iran is reviewing a US proposal but calls it "maximalist." Diplomatic talks, Iranian retaliations, and potential ground preparations sustain uncertainty, with no end announcement yet; traders eye the deadline and mediation outcomes for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
交易量
$7,706,342结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, launched as Operation Epic Fury in late February 2026 to neutralize nuclear threats and regime capabilities, remain active into their fifth week, with Trump claiming strikes are "extremely ahead of schedule" after degrading Iran's army, navy, and air force. Recent heaviest airstrikes targeted military sites despite trader bets on a near-term end, while Trump paused attacks on energy plants and the power grid until April 6 amid negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz—Iran is reviewing a US proposal but calls it "maximalist." Diplomatic talks, Iranian retaliations, and potential ground preparations sustain uncertainty, with no end announcement yet; traders eye the deadline and mediation outcomes for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,706,342结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran, launched as Operation Epic Fury in late February 2026 to neutralize nuclear threats and regime capabilities, remain active into their fifth week, with Trump claiming strikes are "extremely ahead of schedule" after degrading Iran's army, navy, and air force. Recent heaviest airstrikes targeted military sites despite trader bets on a near-term end, while Trump paused attacks on energy plants and the power grid until April 6 amid negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz—Iran is reviewing a US proposal but calls it "maximalist." Diplomatic talks, Iranian retaliations, and potential ground preparations sustain uncertainty, with no end announcement yet; traders eye the deadline and mediation outcomes for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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