Market icon

内塔尼亚胡在... ?

Market icon

内塔尼亚胡在... ?

12月 31

12月 31

$108,237,363 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$108,237,363 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$99,603,373 交易量

<1%

4月30日

$4,481,549 交易量

2%

6月30日

$3,133,718 交易量

7%

12月31日

$1,019,279 交易量

40%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government secured a critical victory with the Knesset approving Israel's 2026 state budget on March 29 by a 62-55 margin, stabilizing the administration and extending its runway toward October legislative elections amid the ongoing war with Iran. The passage averts snap elections triggered by budget failure, despite polls showing his bloc at 51 seats against opposition's 59 and lingering tensions over ultra-Orthodox conscription exemptions. Recent escalations, including Israel's strikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, have rallied support around Netanyahu's hawkish stance, framing Israel as a rising regional power. Traders eye coalition fractures, no-confidence votes, or war setbacks as potential catalysts for his exit before year-end polls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,237,363
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

有争议

已提议结果: 否

有争议

最终审核

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government secured a critical victory with the Knesset approving Israel's 2026 state budget on March 29 by a 62-55 margin, stabilizing the administration and extending its runway toward October legislative elections amid the ongoing war with Iran. The passage averts snap elections triggered by budget failure, despite polls showing his bloc at 51 seats against opposition's 59 and lingering tensions over ultra-Orthodox conscription exemptions. Recent escalations, including Israel's strikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, have rallied support around Netanyahu's hawkish stance, framing Israel as a rising regional power. Traders eye coalition fractures, no-confidence votes, or war setbacks as potential catalysts for his exit before year-end polls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,237,363
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

有争议

已提议结果: 否

有争议

最终审核

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内塔尼亚胡在... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 40%,其次是"6月30日",概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"内塔尼亚胡在... ?"已产生 $108.2 million 的总交易量(自Jul 24, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内塔尼亚胡在... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内塔尼亚胡在... ?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"6月30日",概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内塔尼亚胡在... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。