United States and Israeli forces conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, military infrastructure, and industrial facilities, with strikes persisting through March 31 on locations like Isfahan's Mobarakeh steel plant. GCC nations including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar intercepted Iranian missiles and drones, with unconfirmed reports of UAE offensive missile fire. UK, France, Germany, and others supported via bases and air defenses from Ramstein and RAF Fairford. Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations, while Iran's retaliatory strikes on US bases and allies heighten escalation risks ahead of market resolution on verified offensive actions by March 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,367,294 交易量
2026-03-31
阿联酋
否
英国
否
法国
否
约旦
否
土耳其
否
加拿大
否
德国
否
卡塔尔
否
巴林
否
沙特阿拉伯
否
阿曼
否
科威特
否
任意欧盟国家
否
$11,367,294 交易量
阿联酋
$2,932,295 交易量
否
英国
$976,564 交易量
否
法国
$773,086 交易量
否
约旦
$246,827 交易量
否
土耳其
$505,707 交易量
否
加拿大
$345,832 交易量
否
德国
$922,506 交易量
否
卡塔尔
$1,020,274 交易量
否
巴林
$434,231 交易量
否
沙特阿拉伯
$2,337,929 交易量
否
阿曼
$138,876 交易量
否
科威特
$243,067 交易量
否
任意欧盟国家
$490,100 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israeli forces conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, military infrastructure, and industrial facilities, with strikes persisting through March 31 on locations like Isfahan's Mobarakeh steel plant. GCC nations including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar intercepted Iranian missiles and drones, with unconfirmed reports of UAE offensive missile fire. UK, France, Germany, and others supported via bases and air defenses from Ramstein and RAF Fairford. Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations, while Iran's retaliatory strikes on US bases and allies heighten escalation risks ahead of market resolution on verified offensive actions by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$11,367,294结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israeli forces conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, military infrastructure, and industrial facilities, with strikes persisting through March 31 on locations like Isfahan's Mobarakeh steel plant. GCC nations including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar intercepted Iranian missiles and drones, with unconfirmed reports of UAE offensive missile fire. UK, France, Germany, and others supported via bases and air defenses from Ramstein and RAF Fairford. Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations, while Iran's retaliatory strikes on US bases and allies heighten escalation risks ahead of market resolution on verified offensive actions by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,367,294结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
United States and Israeli forces conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran starting February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, military infrastructure, and industrial facilities, with strikes persisting through March 31 on locations like Isfahan's Mobarakeh steel plant. GCC nations including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar intercepted Iranian missiles and drones, with unconfirmed reports of UAE offensive missile fire. UK, France, Germany, and others supported via bases and air defenses from Ramstein and RAF Fairford. Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations, while Iran's retaliatory strikes on US bases and allies heighten escalation risks ahead of market resolution on verified offensive actions by March 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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