Reza Pahlavi, exiled son of Iran's last shah and prominent opposition leader advocating secular democracy, remains based abroad with no verified plans, announcements, or safe passage to enter Iran under the Islamic Republic's tight border controls and suppression of dissent. Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites last week drew Pahlavi's public calls for nationwide uprising, military defections, and regime collapse, amplifying his visibility amid ongoing economic woes and sporadic protests. However, the regime's security apparatus holds firm without signs of mass defections or external intervention. Traders watch for potential escalations in Israel-Iran tensions, diplomatic recognitions, or internal fractures that could enable his return before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$11,272,254 交易量
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
2%
5月31日
6%
6月30日
11%
12月31日
23%
$11,272,254 交易量
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
2%
5月31日
6%
6月30日
11%
12月31日
23%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Reza Pahlavi, exiled son of Iran's last shah and prominent opposition leader advocating secular democracy, remains based abroad with no verified plans, announcements, or safe passage to enter Iran under the Islamic Republic's tight border controls and suppression of dissent. Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites last week drew Pahlavi's public calls for nationwide uprising, military defections, and regime collapse, amplifying his visibility amid ongoing economic woes and sporadic protests. However, the regime's security apparatus holds firm without signs of mass defections or external intervention. Traders watch for potential escalations in Israel-Iran tensions, diplomatic recognitions, or internal fractures that could enable his return before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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