Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels persist in launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in solidarity with Gaza militants, though Israeli air defenses like Arrow and Iron Dome have intercepted virtually all attempts since the October 2023 Hamas attack. The latest exchange unfolded on December 28, when Israel downed a Houthi missile targeting the south before striking radar sites in Sanaa, escalating tit-for-tat actions amid Houthi Red Sea shipping disruptions. US-UK coalition airstrikes target Houthi capabilities, while incoming Trump administration signals tougher Iran proxy pressure could deter further launches. Traders eye Gaza ceasefire negotiations and potential Houthi retaliation windows as key catalysts before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$516,504 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
5%
4月15日
20%
$516,504 交易量
3月31日
$513,592 交易量
5%
4月15日
$2,911 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels persist in launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in solidarity with Gaza militants, though Israeli air defenses like Arrow and Iron Dome have intercepted virtually all attempts since the October 2023 Hamas attack. The latest exchange unfolded on December 28, when Israel downed a Houthi missile targeting the south before striking radar sites in Sanaa, escalating tit-for-tat actions amid Houthi Red Sea shipping disruptions. US-UK coalition airstrikes target Houthi capabilities, while incoming Trump administration signals tougher Iran proxy pressure could deter further launches. Traders eye Gaza ceasefire negotiations and potential Houthi retaliation windows as key catalysts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
交易量
$516,504结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels persist in launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in solidarity with Gaza militants, though Israeli air defenses like Arrow and Iron Dome have intercepted virtually all attempts since the October 2023 Hamas attack. The latest exchange unfolded on December 28, when Israel downed a Houthi missile targeting the south before striking radar sites in Sanaa, escalating tit-for-tat actions amid Houthi Red Sea shipping disruptions. US-UK coalition airstrikes target Houthi capabilities, while incoming Trump administration signals tougher Iran proxy pressure could deter further launches. Traders eye Gaza ceasefire negotiations and potential Houthi retaliation windows as key catalysts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$516,504结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels persist in launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in solidarity with Gaza militants, though Israeli air defenses like Arrow and Iron Dome have intercepted virtually all attempts since the October 2023 Hamas attack. The latest exchange unfolded on December 28, when Israel downed a Houthi missile targeting the south before striking radar sites in Sanaa, escalating tit-for-tat actions amid Houthi Red Sea shipping disruptions. US-UK coalition airstrikes target Houthi capabilities, while incoming Trump administration signals tougher Iran proxy pressure could deter further launches. Traders eye Gaza ceasefire negotiations and potential Houthi retaliation windows as key catalysts before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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