Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 15-34 vessels, with 20-24 ships leading at 27%, reflecting recent U.S. Energy Information Administration data showing weekly oil tanker volumes averaging 18-22 amid OPEC+ extended production cuts announced March 3 that curbed Saudi and other Gulf exports. No major disruptions occurred in the past week, including no new Iranian vessel seizures or spillover from Houthi Red Sea attacks, maintaining steady but reduced flows. The close contest stems from minor weekly fluctuations due to charter availability and weather, while escalation signals—such as naval incidents, sanctions shifts, or diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers—could push volumes lower or spark rerouting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于20-24 29%
25-29 26%
45+ 23%
15-19 21%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
4%
10-14
9%
15-19
21%
20-24
29%
25-29
18%
30-34
18%
35-39
16%
40-44
17%
45+
19%
20-24 29%
25-29 26%
45+ 23%
15-19 21%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$1,210 交易量
4%
10-14
$231 交易量
9%
15-19
$101 交易量
21%
20-24
$86 交易量
29%
25-29
$125 交易量
18%
30-34
$132 交易量
18%
35-39
$108 交易量
16%
40-44
$193 交易量
17%
45+
$727 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 15-34 vessels, with 20-24 ships leading at 27%, reflecting recent U.S. Energy Information Administration data showing weekly oil tanker volumes averaging 18-22 amid OPEC+ extended production cuts announced March 3 that curbed Saudi and other Gulf exports. No major disruptions occurred in the past week, including no new Iranian vessel seizures or spillover from Houthi Red Sea attacks, maintaining steady but reduced flows. The close contest stems from minor weekly fluctuations due to charter availability and weather, while escalation signals—such as naval incidents, sanctions shifts, or diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers—could push volumes lower or spark rerouting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
交易量
$2,914结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 15-34 vessels, with 20-24 ships leading at 27%, reflecting recent U.S. Energy Information Administration data showing weekly oil tanker volumes averaging 18-22 amid OPEC+ extended production cuts announced March 3 that curbed Saudi and other Gulf exports. No major disruptions occurred in the past week, including no new Iranian vessel seizures or spillover from Houthi Red Sea attacks, maintaining steady but reduced flows. The close contest stems from minor weekly fluctuations due to charter availability and weather, while escalation signals—such as naval incidents, sanctions shifts, or diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers—could push volumes lower or spark rerouting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$2,914结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 15-34 vessels, with 20-24 ships leading at 27%, reflecting recent U.S. Energy Information Administration data showing weekly oil tanker volumes averaging 18-22 amid OPEC+ extended production cuts announced March 3 that curbed Saudi and other Gulf exports. No major disruptions occurred in the past week, including no new Iranian vessel seizures or spillover from Houthi Red Sea attacks, maintaining steady but reduced flows. The close contest stems from minor weekly fluctuations due to charter availability and weather, while escalation signals—such as naval incidents, sanctions shifts, or diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers—could push volumes lower or spark rerouting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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