Trader consensus on Karoline Leavitt's anticipated delay to the next Trump transition press briefing shows tight clustering across 5-25 minute ranges, driven by her inconsistent historical patterns—recent sessions featured 8-minute, 17-minute, and 22-minute waits amid preparation logistics at Mar-a-Lago. No fixed routine or announced changes contribute to the deadlock, as traders weigh recurring factors like team coordination against variability in start times. Sentiment remains balanced without fresh catalysts; real-time announcements or eyewitness updates from the briefing site could widen spreads, potentially favoring extremes if traffic or overruns intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于5 - 10 minutes 30%
25分钟以上 25%
15 - 20 minutes 25%
20 - 25 minutes 23%
<5 minutes
19%
5 - 10 minutes
30%
10 - 15 minutes
21%
15 - 20 minutes
25%
20 - 25 minutes
23%
25分钟以上
25%
5 - 10 minutes 30%
25分钟以上 25%
15 - 20 minutes 25%
20 - 25 minutes 23%
<5 minutes
19%
5 - 10 minutes
30%
10 - 15 minutes
21%
15 - 20 minutes
25%
20 - 25 minutes
23%
25分钟以上
25%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Karoline Leavitt's anticipated delay to the next Trump transition press briefing shows tight clustering across 5-25 minute ranges, driven by her inconsistent historical patterns—recent sessions featured 8-minute, 17-minute, and 22-minute waits amid preparation logistics at Mar-a-Lago. No fixed routine or announced changes contribute to the deadlock, as traders weigh recurring factors like team coordination against variability in start times. Sentiment remains balanced without fresh catalysts; real-time announcements or eyewitness updates from the briefing site could widen spreads, potentially favoring extremes if traffic or overruns intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题