Karoline Leavitt's appointment as White House press secretary on November 15, 2024, anchors trader consensus on her upcoming briefings, with markets pricing her rhetoric to echo President-elect Trump's direct style on immigration, economy, and cabinet nominations amid the transition period. Recent catalysts include Leavitt's combative campaign defenses of Trump and ongoing announcements of nominees like Pete Hegseth for Defense, fueling bets on phrases emphasizing "America First" policies or rebuttals to media criticism. No specific briefing date is set until after the January 20 inauguration, leaving odds sensitive to pre-inaugural developments like congressional confirmation battles or foreign leader reactions, highlighting the wisdom of crowds in navigating transition uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$36,665 交易量
Regime 10+ times
55%
Go ahead 5+ times
37%
Air / Land / Sea 3+ times
72%
Capitol Hill
55%
Sponsor of Terror
64%
Boots on the Ground
50%
Ayatollah / Mojtaba
31%
Make Iran Great Again
12%
Ceasefire
31%
ICE
59%
Hormuz
89%
Hezbollah / Hamas
32%
Lebanon
64%
Qatar / UAE / Oman
53%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
84%
Democrat Shutdown
39%
Call your Democrat / Call a Democrat
31%
Why not
42%
Markwayne / Mullin
31%
Death to America
48%
Illegal Alien
61%
Threat
83%
AI / Intelligence
68%
Commander-in-Chief
65%
$36,665 交易量
Regime 10+ times
55%
Go ahead 5+ times
37%
Air / Land / Sea 3+ times
72%
Capitol Hill
55%
Sponsor of Terror
64%
Boots on the Ground
50%
Ayatollah / Mojtaba
31%
Make Iran Great Again
12%
Ceasefire
31%
ICE
59%
Hormuz
89%
Hezbollah / Hamas
32%
Lebanon
64%
Qatar / UAE / Oman
53%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
84%
Democrat Shutdown
39%
Call your Democrat / Call a Democrat
31%
Why not
42%
Markwayne / Mullin
31%
Death to America
48%
Illegal Alien
61%
Threat
83%
AI / Intelligence
68%
Commander-in-Chief
65%
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Karoline Leavitt's appointment as White House press secretary on November 15, 2024, anchors trader consensus on her upcoming briefings, with markets pricing her rhetoric to echo President-elect Trump's direct style on immigration, economy, and cabinet nominations amid the transition period. Recent catalysts include Leavitt's combative campaign defenses of Trump and ongoing announcements of nominees like Pete Hegseth for Defense, fueling bets on phrases emphasizing "America First" policies or rebuttals to media criticism. No specific briefing date is set until after the January 20 inauguration, leaving odds sensitive to pre-inaugural developments like congressional confirmation battles or foreign leader reactions, highlighting the wisdom of crowds in navigating transition uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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