Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Donald Trump posting 80-119 times on Truth Social during March 24-31, 2026, with 100-119 (27%) edging 80-99 (26%) amid tight clustering around 80-120 total (73% combined). This pricing draws from his historical cadence of 10-20 daily posts during campaigns, rallies, and legal battles, projecting steady volume into a likely second presidential term. The contest stays narrow due to variability from news cycles—media scrutiny or policy fights amplify output, while routine White House duties could moderate it. Potential separators: major events like congressional votes, diplomatic summits, or scandals spiking posts; conversely, delegated press strategies trimming them. Absent shifts, base rates hold the mid-range lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于100-119 27%
80-99 26%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$34,732 交易量
$34,732 交易量
少于20条
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
4%
80-99
26%
100-119
27%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
6%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
100-119 27%
80-99 26%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$34,732 交易量
$34,732 交易量
少于20条
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
4%
80-99
26%
100-119
27%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
6%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Donald Trump posting 80-119 times on Truth Social during March 24-31, 2026, with 100-119 (27%) edging 80-99 (26%) amid tight clustering around 80-120 total (73% combined). This pricing draws from his historical cadence of 10-20 daily posts during campaigns, rallies, and legal battles, projecting steady volume into a likely second presidential term. The contest stays narrow due to variability from news cycles—media scrutiny or policy fights amplify output, while routine White House duties could moderate it. Potential separators: major events like congressional votes, diplomatic summits, or scandals spiking posts; conversely, delegated press strategies trimming them. Absent shifts, base rates hold the mid-range lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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