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盖子 预测与赔率

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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 18 - 23)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 18 - 23)

50%

May 20

$17 交易量

$62 Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

74%

Mette Frederiksen

$9M 交易量

$181K Liq.

172

Ends 大约 2 个月前

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

82%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

57%

↓ 75,000

$18M 交易量

$905K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 15 天内

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

64%

↑ 16

$37.5K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$127K 交易量

$39.7K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

43%

60-79

$7.3K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$2.0K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

44%

80-99

$1.3K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

10

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

76%

↑ $640

$53.4K 交易量

$38.2K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

69%

80-99

$19.7K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天内

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

7%

55-59

$1.6K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

56%

↑ $435

$52.9K 交易量

$45.2K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

95%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.5K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

78%

<5

$616 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

42%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$941 Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

55%

Walczaki

$14 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 23 小时内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 盖子 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 盖子 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 18 - 23)"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $30.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",市场目前认为 ↑ 80,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 盖子 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。