Narrow Republican majorities in the House (projected 220-215) and Senate (53-47) form the core tension driving 56% implied odds for Trump impeachment before his January 2029 term ends, as even modest GOP defections could enable House articles of impeachment. No formal proceedings exist, but trader consensus reflects risks from anticipated executive actions like mass deportations or agency purges, potentially provoking Democratic opposition or intra-party rifts. Recent catalysts include Matt Gaetz's withdrawn attorney general nomination amid scandals and ongoing January 6 probes, heightening perceptions of volatility. Lame-duck congressional sessions and the January 2025 new Congress represent key near-term flashpoints for market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,483结束日期
Jan 20, 2029市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$6,483结束日期
Jan 20, 2029市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narrow Republican majorities in the House (projected 220-215) and Senate (53-47) form the core tension driving 56% implied odds for Trump impeachment before his January 2029 term ends, as even modest GOP defections could enable House articles of impeachment. No formal proceedings exist, but trader consensus reflects risks from anticipated executive actions like mass deportations or agency purges, potentially provoking Democratic opposition or intra-party rifts. Recent catalysts include Matt Gaetz's withdrawn attorney general nomination amid scandals and ongoing January 6 probes, heightening perceptions of volatility. Lame-duck congressional sessions and the January 2025 new Congress represent key near-term flashpoints for market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题