President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Jun 30, 2026
托姆·蒂利斯
90%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
7%
伯尼·桑德斯
2%
查克·舒默
14%
丽萨·穆尔科斯基
70%
凯文·克雷默
92%
约翰·肯尼迪
90%
$5,023 交易量
托姆·蒂利斯
$0 交易量
90%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
$0 交易量
7%
伯尼·桑德斯
$3,072 交易量
2%
查克·舒默
$0 交易量
14%
丽萨·穆尔科斯基
$90 交易量
70%
凯文·克雷默
$0 交易量
92%
约翰·肯尼迪
$1,861 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
交易量
$5,023结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,023结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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