President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Jun 30, 2026
托姆·蒂利斯
90%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
7%
伯尼·桑德斯
2%
查克·舒默
15%
丽萨·穆尔科斯基
70%
凯文·克雷默
92%
约翰·肯尼迪
90%
$5,033 交易量
托姆·蒂利斯
$0 交易量
90%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
$0 交易量
7%
伯尼·桑德斯
$3,072 交易量
2%
查克·舒默
$0 交易量
15%
丽萨·穆尔科斯基
$90 交易量
70%
凯文·克雷默
$0 交易量
92%
约翰·肯尼迪
$1,871 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
交易量
$5,033结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,033结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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