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谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?

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谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,691 交易量

Polymarket

托姆·蒂利斯

$1,822 交易量

76%

伊丽莎白·沃伦

$0 交易量

1%

伯尼·桑德斯

$869 交易量

9%

查克·舒默

$0 交易量

51%

丽萨·穆尔科斯基

$0 交易量

63%

凯文·克雷默

$0 交易量

91%

约翰·肯尼迪

$0 交易量

93%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,691
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "约翰·肯尼迪" at 93%, followed by "凯文·克雷默" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?" is "约翰·肯尼迪" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "凯文·克雷默" at 91%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "谁将投票确认凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )担任美联储主席?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.