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Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?

260-279 13%

300-319 13%

280-299 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$73,963 交易量

260-279 13%

300-319 13%

280-299 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$73,963 交易量

<20

$7,509 交易量

<1%

20-39

$12,588 交易量

<1%

40-59

$16,553 交易量

<1%

60-79

$6,867 交易量

<1%

80-99

$4,979 交易量

<1%

100-119

$1,758 交易量

<1%

120-139

$3,028 交易量

1%

140-159

$543 交易量

1%

160-179

$517 交易量

2%

180-199

$608 交易量

2%

200-219

$432 交易量

5%

220-239

$750 交易量

9%

240-259

$834 交易量

10%

260-279

$849 交易量

13%

280-299

$672 交易量

12%

300-319

$428 交易量

13%

320-339

$518 交易量

11%

340-359

$414 交易量

9%

360-379

$420 交易量

7%

380-399

$737 交易量

5%

400-419

$963 交易量

4%

420-439

$798 交易量

3%

440-459

$698 交易量

1%

460-479

$1,493 交易量

2%

480-499

$618 交易量

1%

500-519

$721 交易量

<1%

520-539

$689 交易量

<1%

540-559

$1,068 交易量

<1%

560-579

$2,612 交易量

<1%

580+

$3,345 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–339 posts, with 260–279 (12%), 300–319 (11.5%), and 280–299 (11.5%) leading amid razor-thin margins, reflecting his consistent 25–40 daily average established last week at 260–279 posts (March 20–27) and 120 logged so far in the ongoing March 24–31 market. This competitive spread stems from volatile habits driven by viral political commentary, AI debates, and Tesla/SpaceX updates—like recent SpaceX IPO buzz—offset by occasional weekend dips, with no confirmed catalysts like launches or controversies to decisively shift momentum. Traders eye breaking news as the key differentiator in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–339 posts, with 260–279 (12%), 300–319 (11.5%), and 280–299 (11.5%) leading amid razor-thin margins, reflecting his consistent 25–40 daily average established last week at 260–279 posts (March 20–27) and 120 logged so far in the ongoing March 24–31 market. This competitive spread stems from volatile habits driven by viral political commentary, AI debates, and Tesla/SpaceX updates—like recent SpaceX IPO buzz—offset by occasional weekend dips, with no confirmed catalysts like launches or controversies to decisively shift momentum. Traders eye breaking news as the key differentiator in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–339 posts, with 260–279 (12%), 300–319 (11.5%), and 280–299 (11.5%) leading amid razor-thin margins, reflecting his consistent 25–40 daily average established last week at 260–279 posts (March 20–27) and 120 logged so far in the ongoing March 24–31 market. This competitive spread stems from volatile habits driven by viral political commentary, AI debates, and Tesla/SpaceX updates—like recent SpaceX IPO buzz—offset by occasional weekend dips, with no confirmed catalysts like launches or controversies to decisively shift momentum. Traders eye breaking news as the key differentiator in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–339 posts, with 260–279 (12%), 300–319 (11.5%), and 280–299 (11.5%) leading amid razor-thin margins, reflecting his consistent 25–40 daily average established last week at 260–279 posts (March 20–27) and 120 logged so far in the ongoing March 24–31 market. This competitive spread stems from volatile habits driven by viral political commentary, AI debates, and Tesla/SpaceX updates—like recent SpaceX IPO buzz—offset by occasional weekend dips, with no confirmed catalysts like launches or controversies to decisively shift momentum. Traders eye breaking news as the key differentiator in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"260-279",概率为 13%,其次是"300-319",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 13¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 13%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"已产生 $74K 的总交易量(自Mar 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"的当前领先者是"260-279",概率为 13%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 13%。紧随其后的结果是"300-319",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。