Finland commands a commanding 36% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with a jury-televote balanced scorecard reminiscent of 2023's "Cha Cha Cha" surge. Recent fan polls on Eurovisionworld and OGAE voting place it atop leaderboards, bolstered by positive casual viewer reactions just days ago and a 4.4-star user rating from over 22,000 votes. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" holds 13.5% after a standout first live TV performance last week propelled it into green across bookmakers, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.9% benefits from Nordic televote strength and second semi-final favoritism. With all 35 entries released and Vienna semis looming in May, trader sentiment reflects early campaign momentum amid shifting preview polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 36.0%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.9%
澳大利亚 6.4%
$56,466,236 交易量
$56,466,236 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 36.0%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.9%
澳大利亚 6.4%
$56,466,236 交易量
$56,466,236 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a commanding 36% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with a jury-televote balanced scorecard reminiscent of 2023's "Cha Cha Cha" surge. Recent fan polls on Eurovisionworld and OGAE voting place it atop leaderboards, bolstered by positive casual viewer reactions just days ago and a 4.4-star user rating from over 22,000 votes. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" holds 13.5% after a standout first live TV performance last week propelled it into green across bookmakers, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.9% benefits from Nordic televote strength and second semi-final favoritism. With all 35 entries released and Vienna semis looming in May, trader sentiment reflects early campaign momentum amid shifting preview polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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