Trader consensus crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner at 36.6% implied probability, propelled by their commanding UMK national final win in late February and sustained bookmaker favoritism through strong previews blending classical violin flair with pop energy—positioned seventh in Semi-final 1 for optimal running order. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds second at 12.3% on polished chanson appeal, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem") edges 10.1% amid Nordic televote strength; Australia surges to 7.3% via Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" momentum. Greece and Israel trail closely, buoyed by fan fervor despite boycott calls over Israel's Noam Bettan entry. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with jury-televote splits and staging reveals as key swing factors ahead of May semis.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 36.6%
法国 12.3%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 7.3%
$105,508,644 交易量
$105,508,644 交易量
芬兰
37%
法国
12%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
6%
瑞典
3%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
保加利亚
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
奥地利
<1%
德国
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
比利时
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
波兰
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
黑山
<1%
芬兰 36.6%
法国 12.3%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 7.3%
$105,508,644 交易量
$105,508,644 交易量
芬兰
37%
法国
12%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
6%
瑞典
3%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
保加利亚
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
奥地利
<1%
德国
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
比利时
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
波兰
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
黑山
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner at 36.6% implied probability, propelled by their commanding UMK national final win in late February and sustained bookmaker favoritism through strong previews blending classical violin flair with pop energy—positioned seventh in Semi-final 1 for optimal running order. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds second at 12.3% on polished chanson appeal, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem") edges 10.1% amid Nordic televote strength; Australia surges to 7.3% via Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" momentum. Greece and Israel trail closely, buoyed by fan fervor despite boycott calls over Israel's Noam Bettan entry. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with jury-televote splits and staging reveals as key swing factors ahead of May semis.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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