Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that Ye (Kanye West) avoids further entry blocks before June 30, driven by the absence of new international travel plans or controversies since the U.K. Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization on April 7, 2026—prompted by his history of antisemitic remarks and tied to a canceled Wireless Festival headline slot. This followed Australia's 2025 visa revocation, marking the latest verified restriction, but with roughly seven weeks remaining and no announced gigs, tours, or public appearances abroad, momentum has stalled amid his low-profile period. Upset risks linger from sudden booking announcements or renewed backlash, though traders see limited catalysts left in this time-sensitive window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that Ye (Kanye West) avoids further entry blocks before June 30, driven by the absence of new international travel plans or controversies since the U.K. Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization on April 7, 2026—prompted by his history of antisemitic remarks and tied to a canceled Wireless Festival headline slot. This followed Australia's 2025 visa revocation, marking the latest verified restriction, but with roughly seven weeks remaining and no announced gigs, tours, or public appearances abroad, momentum has stalled amid his low-profile period. Upset risks linger from sudden booking announcements or renewed backlash, though traders see limited catalysts left in this time-sensitive window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
交易量
$4,706结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that Ye (Kanye West) avoids further entry blocks before June 30, driven by the absence of new international travel plans or controversies since the U.K. Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization on April 7, 2026—prompted by his history of antisemitic remarks and tied to a canceled Wireless Festival headline slot. This followed Australia's 2025 visa revocation, marking the latest verified restriction, but with roughly seven weeks remaining and no announced gigs, tours, or public appearances abroad, momentum has stalled amid his low-profile period. Upset risks linger from sudden booking announcements or renewed backlash, though traders see limited catalysts left in this time-sensitive window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,706结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that Ye (Kanye West) avoids further entry blocks before June 30, driven by the absence of new international travel plans or controversies since the U.K. Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization on April 7, 2026—prompted by his history of antisemitic remarks and tied to a canceled Wireless Festival headline slot. This followed Australia's 2025 visa revocation, marking the latest verified restriction, but with roughly seven weeks remaining and no announced gigs, tours, or public appearances abroad, momentum has stalled amid his low-profile period. Upset risks linger from sudden booking announcements or renewed backlash, though traders see limited catalysts left in this time-sensitive window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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