Drake’s ICEMAN has posted a dominant opening frame of 463,000 equivalent units—nearly all from streaming—and held the Billboard 200 summit in its second week with 225,000 units, fueling trader consensus that the project will reach at least four weeks at No. 1. Sustained fan engagement, Drake’s record of multi-week runs with major releases, and a relatively soft competitive slate in the coming tracking periods underpin the 90.5% implied probability for four-plus weeks. An upset to three weeks or fewer would require a sharp sales drop-off or an unusually strong challenger debut, neither of which has materialized in early data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于冰人将在Billboard 200上排名第一几周?
4+ 91%
3 10%
2 <1%
$41,735 交易量
$41,735 交易量
2
<1%
3
10%
4+
91%
4+ 91%
3 10%
2 <1%
$41,735 交易量
$41,735 交易量
2
<1%
3
10%
4+
91%
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
市场开放时间: Apr 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Drake’s ICEMAN has posted a dominant opening frame of 463,000 equivalent units—nearly all from streaming—and held the Billboard 200 summit in its second week with 225,000 units, fueling trader consensus that the project will reach at least four weeks at No. 1. Sustained fan engagement, Drake’s record of multi-week runs with major releases, and a relatively soft competitive slate in the coming tracking periods underpin the 90.5% implied probability for four-plus weeks. An upset to three weeks or fewer would require a sharp sales drop-off or an unusually strong challenger debut, neither of which has materialized in early data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题