Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability on MrBeast's next main-channel video hitting 81-82 million YouTube views in its first week, reflecting his recent track record of survival-challenge uploads consistently landing in the 80-85M range. The latest release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (uploaded circa March 22), amassed over 80 million views by day six with 36 million in the first 24 hours—ranking third among his last 10 videos—bolstered by strong algorithmic promotion, 470 million-plus subscribers, and positive feedback on crew visibility. Earlier hits like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" exceeded 100 million in two weeks, cementing expectations for steady week-one performance absent major format shifts, with the next upload eyed soon amid his bi-weekly cadence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量? (较小的Strikes )
第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量? (较小的Strikes )
8100-8200 万 83%
8200万-8300万 16%
8000万-8100万 <1%
7900万-8000万 <1%
$128,302 交易量
$128,302 交易量
低于7900万
<1%
7900万-8000万
1%
8000万-8100万
1%
8100-8200 万
83%
8200万-8300万
16%
8300万-8400万
<1%
8400万+
<1%
8100-8200 万 83%
8200万-8300万 16%
8000万-8100万 <1%
7900万-8000万 <1%
$128,302 交易量
$128,302 交易量
低于7900万
<1%
7900万-8000万
1%
8000万-8100万
1%
8100-8200 万
83%
8200万-8300万
16%
8300万-8400万
<1%
8400万+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability on MrBeast's next main-channel video hitting 81-82 million YouTube views in its first week, reflecting his recent track record of survival-challenge uploads consistently landing in the 80-85M range. The latest release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (uploaded circa March 22), amassed over 80 million views by day six with 36 million in the first 24 hours—ranking third among his last 10 videos—bolstered by strong algorithmic promotion, 470 million-plus subscribers, and positive feedback on crew visibility. Earlier hits like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" exceeded 100 million in two weeks, cementing expectations for steady week-one performance absent major format shifts, with the next upload eyed soon amid his bi-weekly cadence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题