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在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？

Market icon

在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？

Mar 31

Mar 31

是

<1% chance
Polymarket

$153,152 交易量

是

<1% chance
Polymarket

$153,152 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No" at 99.5% implied probability for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, driven by the creator's slowed 2026 upload schedule and diminished first-week view velocity on recent releases. His latest main channel upload, "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" from March 7, has amassed just 106 million total views after three weeks—well short of the benchmark even now, with its first week long past. Earlier 2026 videos like the January futuristic tech challenge similarly underperformed relative to historical highs, amid critiques of editing and participant choices eroding viral momentum. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop today or tomorrow exploding via algorithmic push or cross-platform hype, though MrBeast's sparse recent activity makes this improbable as the deadline looms.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No" at 99.5% implied probability for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, driven by the creator's slowed 2026 upload schedule and diminished first-week view velocity on recent releases. His latest main channel upload, "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" from March 7, has amassed just 106 million total views after three weeks—well short of the benchmark even now, with its first week long past. Earlier 2026 videos like the January futuristic tech challenge similarly underperformed relative to historical highs, amid critiques of editing and participant choices eroding viral momentum. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop today or tomorrow exploding via algorithmic push or cross-platform hype, though MrBeast's sparse recent activity makes this improbable as the deadline looms.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No" at 99.5% implied probability for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, driven by the creator's slowed 2026 upload schedule and diminished first-week view velocity on recent releases. His latest main channel upload, "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" from March 7, has amassed just 106 million total views after three weeks—well short of the benchmark even now, with its first week long past. Earlier 2026 videos like the January futuristic tech challenge similarly underperformed relative to historical highs, amid critiques of editing and participant choices eroding viral momentum. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop today or tomorrow exploding via algorithmic push or cross-platform hype, though MrBeast's sparse recent activity makes this improbable as the deadline looms.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No" at 99.5% implied probability for a MrBeast video hitting 100 million views in its first week by March 31, driven by the creator's slowed 2026 upload schedule and diminished first-week view velocity on recent releases. His latest main channel upload, "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" from March 7, has amassed just 106 million total views after three weeks—well short of the benchmark even now, with its first week long past. Earlier 2026 videos like the January futuristic tech challenge similarly underperformed relative to historical highs, amid critiques of editing and participant choices eroding viral momentum. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop today or tomorrow exploding via algorithmic push or cross-platform hype, though MrBeast's sparse recent activity makes this improbable as the deadline looms.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"截至3月31日，MrBeast 视频在第一周内能达到1亿次观看吗？"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 1¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 1%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？"已产生 $153.2K 的总交易量（自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？"的当前领先者是"截至3月31日，MrBeast 视频在第一周内能达到1亿次观看吗？"，仅有 1%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"在3月31日之前的第一周， MrBeast视频有1亿次观看？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。