Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 90-110 million week 1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video, with 100-110M edging out at 31% implied probability amid tight competition from the 90-100M (26.5%) and 110M+ (17.5%) outcomes. This positioning stems from recent video performance, including the prior "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting roughly 83 million views in seven days—sparking minor "falling off" discourse despite ranking strong among his last 10 uploads—while historical precedents like survival challenges consistently deliver 80-110 million in first-week streaming metrics. Key differentiators include the upcoming video's novelty factor, thumbnail clickability, and initial 24-hour velocity, as audience fatigue and YouTube algorithm dynamics could swing results; no release date is confirmed, heightening near-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
100-110M 31%
90-100M 27%
110M+ 18%
80-90M 17%
$84,072 交易量
$84,072 交易量
<60M
2%
60-70M
3%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
27%
100-110M
31%
110M+
18%
100-110M 31%
90-100M 27%
110M+ 18%
80-90M 17%
$84,072 交易量
$84,072 交易量
<60M
2%
60-70M
3%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
27%
100-110M
31%
110M+
18%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 90-110 million week 1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video, with 100-110M edging out at 31% implied probability amid tight competition from the 90-100M (26.5%) and 110M+ (17.5%) outcomes. This positioning stems from recent video performance, including the prior "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting roughly 83 million views in seven days—sparking minor "falling off" discourse despite ranking strong among his last 10 uploads—while historical precedents like survival challenges consistently deliver 80-110 million in first-week streaming metrics. Key differentiators include the upcoming video's novelty factor, thumbnail clickability, and initial 24-hour velocity, as audience fatigue and YouTube algorithm dynamics could swing results; no release date is confirmed, heightening near-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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