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Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Market icon

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

18-18.5m 43%

16.5-17m 42%

17.5-18m 42%

<16.5m 41%

Polymarket
NEW

18-18.5m 43%

16.5-17m 42%

17.5-18m 42%

<16.5m 41%

Polymarket
NEW

<16.5m

$0 交易量

41%

16.5-17m

$0 交易量

42%

17-17.5m

$0 交易量

41%

17.5-18m

$0 交易量

42%

18-18.5m

$0 交易量

43%

>18.5m

$0 交易量

41%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.

Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.

Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"18-18.5m",概率为 43%,其次是"16.5-17m",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?"的当前领先者是"18-18.5m",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"16.5-17m",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。