Trader consensus on Polymarket's bins for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X posts from March 31 to April 7 remains tightly clustered around 37-40%, with <5, 15-19, and 25-29 edging ahead, mirroring recent weekly volumes of 2-4 archival statements reposted amid his February 2026 martyrdom and succession to son Mojtaba. Ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, including IRGC targets, and unconfirmed reports of Mojtaba's injuries have suppressed activity to timely quotes on Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, as seen in the March 27 post. Escalation like retaliatory military actions or Mojtaba's public appearances could surge posts toward 20+; prolonged incapacitation or de-escalation signals might anchor below 10, keeping the race competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月31日至4月7日?
哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月31日至4月7日?
<5 41%
5-9 38%
10-14 38%
15-19 38%
<5
41%
5-9
38%
10-14
38%
15-19
38%
20-24
38%
25-29
38%
30-34
31%
35-39
33%
40-44
33%
45-49
33%
50-54
33%
55-59
33%
60+
33%
<5 41%
5-9 38%
10-14 38%
15-19 38%
<5
41%
5-9
38%
10-14
38%
15-19
38%
20-24
38%
25-29
38%
30-34
31%
35-39
33%
40-44
33%
45-49
33%
50-54
33%
55-59
33%
60+
33%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's bins for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X posts from March 31 to April 7 remains tightly clustered around 37-40%, with <5, 15-19, and 25-29 edging ahead, mirroring recent weekly volumes of 2-4 archival statements reposted amid his February 2026 martyrdom and succession to son Mojtaba. Ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, including IRGC targets, and unconfirmed reports of Mojtaba's injuries have suppressed activity to timely quotes on Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, as seen in the March 27 post. Escalation like retaliatory military actions or Mojtaba's public appearances could surge posts toward 20+; prolonged incapacitation or de-escalation signals might anchor below 10, keeping the race competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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