Trader consensus prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his prominent HHS Secretary role, ongoing health policy initiatives like the "Take Back Your Health" tour, and cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion of a definite run despite his denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, benefiting from incumbency as heir apparent but slipping in recent polls amid criticism over Iran war handling. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's odds at 21% have climbed sharply, elevated by his leadership in the conflict—including yesterday's announcement of U.S. operations ahead of schedule without ground troops—coupled with President Trump's private donor polling favoring him over Vance. 2026 midterms will test early frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于J.D. Vance 36.9%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 21.3%
塔克·卡尔森 4.9%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%
$482,705,670 交易量
$482,705,670 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
格伦·扬金
1%
Rand Paul
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
J.D. Vance 36.9%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 21.3%
塔克·卡尔森 4.9%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%
$482,705,670 交易量
$482,705,670 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
格伦·扬金
1%
Rand Paul
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his prominent HHS Secretary role, ongoing health policy initiatives like the "Take Back Your Health" tour, and cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion of a definite run despite his denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, benefiting from incumbency as heir apparent but slipping in recent polls amid criticism over Iran war handling. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's odds at 21% have climbed sharply, elevated by his leadership in the conflict—including yesterday's announcement of U.S. operations ahead of schedule without ground troops—coupled with President Trump's private donor polling favoring him over Vance. 2026 midterms will test early frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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