In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holding a slim edge at 46.5% over challenger Patrick Roath at 44.5%, reflecting a tight ideological contest between Lynch's moderate record—including his 2010 vote against the Affordable Care Act—and Roath's progressive voting rights platform appealing to younger, left-leaning voters. Recent Q1 FEC filings through March 31 reveal Roath's strong fundraising ($889,000 raised, $410,000 cash on hand), closing the gap on Lynch's $1.18 million cash reserves, while endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve and local officials bolster Roath's momentum. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 20.6% amid withdrawal reports. Public polls are absent; upcoming debates, party conventions, and June filing deadline could tip the balance ahead of the September 1 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于斯蒂芬·林奇 61%
帕特里克·罗思 25%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 2.6%
斯蒂芬·林奇
61%
帕特里克·罗思
30%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
3%
斯蒂芬·林奇 61%
帕特里克·罗思 25%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 2.6%
斯蒂芬·林奇
61%
帕特里克·罗思
30%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holding a slim edge at 46.5% over challenger Patrick Roath at 44.5%, reflecting a tight ideological contest between Lynch's moderate record—including his 2010 vote against the Affordable Care Act—and Roath's progressive voting rights platform appealing to younger, left-leaning voters. Recent Q1 FEC filings through March 31 reveal Roath's strong fundraising ($889,000 raised, $410,000 cash on hand), closing the gap on Lynch's $1.18 million cash reserves, while endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve and local officials bolster Roath's momentum. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 20.6% amid withdrawal reports. Public polls are absent; upcoming debates, party conventions, and June filing deadline could tip the balance ahead of the September 1 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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