Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 51% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary, driven by his long tenure since 2013, dominant fundraising exceeding $800,000 per recent FEC filings, and a mid-July district poll showing him leading 48%-32% over challenger Patrick Roath. Roath's 35% reflects growing progressive support criticizing Lynch's moderate voting record on issues like Israel aid, bolstered by grassroots momentum and a recent campaign event drawing strong turnout. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 4.6% amid minimal visibility and resources. No major shifts in the past 48 hours, but upcoming August forums and early voting could influence the closely contested September 3 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于帕特里克·罗思 36%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 4.7%
斯蒂芬·林奇 0
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
帕特里克·罗思
36%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
5%
斯蒂芬·林奇
51%
帕特里克·罗思 36%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 4.7%
斯蒂芬·林奇 0
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
帕特里克·罗思
$0 交易量
36%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
$0 交易量
5%
斯蒂芬·林奇
$0 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$0结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 51% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary, driven by his long tenure since 2013, dominant fundraising exceeding $800,000 per recent FEC filings, and a mid-July district poll showing him leading 48%-32% over challenger Patrick Roath. Roath's 35% reflects growing progressive support criticizing Lynch's moderate voting record on issues like Israel aid, bolstered by grassroots momentum and a recent campaign event drawing strong turnout. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 4.6% amid minimal visibility and resources. No major shifts in the past 48 hours, but upcoming August forums and early voting could influence the closely contested September 3 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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