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政治·参议院初选

俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·参议院初选

俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者

凯文·赫恩 83%

尼克·汉金斯 9.5%

约翰·M·奥康纳 2.9%

韦恩·朗尼·华盛顿 1.6%

Polymarket

$10,847 交易量

凯文·赫恩 83%

尼克·汉金斯 9.5%

约翰·M·奥康纳 2.9%

韦恩·朗尼·华盛顿 1.6%

Polymarket

$10,847 交易量

凯文·赫恩

$8,863 交易量

83%

尼克·汉金斯

$0 交易量

10%

约翰·M·奥康纳

$0 交易量

3%

韦恩·朗尼·华盛顿

$0 交易量

2%

斯蒂芬妮·比斯

$1,984 交易量

1%

马特·皮内尔

$0 交易量

1%

Markwayne Mullin

$0 交易量

1%

塔米·斯韦尔根

$0 交易量

1%

Ron Meinhardt

$0 交易量

1%

Donelle Harder

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 83% to win the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his incumbency advantage as a multi-term congressman in the competitive Tulsa-based OK-1 district, superior fundraising totals exceeding $2 million this cycle, and strong alignment with Trump-era conservatism amid lingering GOP backlash against incumbent Sen. James Lankford's February bipartisan border security bill support. No major candidate announcements or polls emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying Hern's frontrunner status over state Rep. Nick Hankins (9.5%), who lacks statewide profile. Longshots like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, Rep. Stephanie Bice, and Sen. Markwayne Mullin trail due to limited interest signals. The June 2026 primary leaves time for field shifts or Lankford defenses.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,847
结束日期
Jun 16, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 83% to win the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his incumbency advantage as a multi-term congressman in the competitive Tulsa-based OK-1 district, superior fundraising totals exceeding $2 million this cycle, and strong alignment with Trump-era conservatism amid lingering GOP backlash against incumbent Sen. James Lankford's February bipartisan border security bill support. No major candidate announcements or polls emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying Hern's frontrunner status over state Rep. Nick Hankins (9.5%), who lacks statewide profile. Longshots like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, Rep. Stephanie Bice, and Sen. Markwayne Mullin trail due to limited interest signals. The June 2026 primary leaves time for field shifts or Lankford defenses.

Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 83% to win the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his incumbency advantage as a multi-term congressman in the competitive Tulsa-based OK-1 district, superior fundraising totals exceeding $2 million this cycle, and strong alignment with Trump-era conservatism amid lingering GOP backlash against incumbent Sen. James Lankford's February bipartisan border security bill support. No major candidate announcements or polls emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying Hern's frontrunner status over state Rep. Nick Hankins (9.5%), who lacks statewide profile. Longshots like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, Rep. Stephanie Bice, and Sen. Markwayne Mullin trail due to limited interest signals. The June 2026 primary leaves time for field shifts or Lankford defenses.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯文·赫恩"，概率为 83%，其次是"尼克·汉金斯"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $10.8K 的总交易量（自Mar 5, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"凯文·赫恩"，概率为 83%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"尼克·汉金斯"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄克拉荷马州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。