Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.3% implied probability as the Republican primary winner on June 2, reflecting his entrenched position as a former two-term South Dakota governor with a proven primary track record, including a 75%-25% victory in 2020. Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal, who secured his ballot spot via petition validation on April 5, trails at 2.4% amid limited name recognition and resources in the deep-red state. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem's potential challenge faded after her Trump administration role sidelined a Senate bid. While trader consensus favors Rounds heavily, a late scandal, health issue, or grassroots surge for McNeal could shift dynamics in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于迈克·朗兹 94.6%
贾斯汀·麦克尼尔 2.4%
克里斯蒂·诺姆 1.9%
$21,405 交易量
$21,405 交易量
2026-06-28
迈克·朗兹
95%
贾斯汀·麦克尼尔
2%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
2%
迈克·朗兹 94.6%
贾斯汀·麦克尼尔 2.4%
克里斯蒂·诺姆 1.9%
$21,405 交易量
$21,405 交易量
2026-06-28
迈克·朗兹
$5,087 交易量
95%
贾斯汀·麦克尼尔
$14,077 交易量
2%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
$2,240 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.3% implied probability as the Republican primary winner on June 2, reflecting his entrenched position as a former two-term South Dakota governor with a proven primary track record, including a 75%-25% victory in 2020. Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal, who secured his ballot spot via petition validation on April 5, trails at 2.4% amid limited name recognition and resources in the deep-red state. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem's potential challenge faded after her Trump administration role sidelined a Senate bid. While trader consensus favors Rounds heavily, a late scandal, health issue, or grassroots surge for McNeal could shift dynamics in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$21,405结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.3% implied probability as the Republican primary winner on June 2, reflecting his entrenched position as a former two-term South Dakota governor with a proven primary track record, including a 75%-25% victory in 2020. Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal, who secured his ballot spot via petition validation on April 5, trails at 2.4% amid limited name recognition and resources in the deep-red state. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem's potential challenge faded after her Trump administration role sidelined a Senate bid. While trader consensus favors Rounds heavily, a late scandal, health issue, or grassroots surge for McNeal could shift dynamics in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$21,405结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.3% implied probability as the Republican primary winner on June 2, reflecting his entrenched position as a former two-term South Dakota governor with a proven primary track record, including a 75%-25% victory in 2020. Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal, who secured his ballot spot via petition validation on April 5, trails at 2.4% amid limited name recognition and resources in the deep-red state. Speculation around Governor Kristi Noem's potential challenge faded after her Trump administration role sidelined a Senate bid. While trader consensus favors Rounds heavily, a late scandal, health issue, or grassroots surge for McNeal could shift dynamics in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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