N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the Oklahoma Democratic US Senate primary, driven by her top position in recent SoonerPoll surveys showing 42% support and superior fundraising with over $120,000 raised per latest FEC filings, outpacing rivals. Jim Priest holds second at 18% amid moderate appeal and local endorsements from labor groups, while Troy Green trails at 9.5% on grassroots visibility but limited resources, and Rebekah LaVann at 2.5% lacks polling traction. Recent momentum stems from Thomas's April digital ad blitz and a May debate performance boosting her progressive base, with the June 18 primary as the next catalyst for shifts in trader sentiment.