Trader consensus on the White House X account's posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around high ranges—200+ at 35%, 160-199 spanning 59.5% combined—reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election's impact on official communications strategy. Historical patterns show Trump's first-term @WhiteHouse averaging 15-25 daily posts during peak weeks, versus Biden's more restrained 8-12, tilting sentiment toward elevated activity if Republicans reclaim the presidency amid neck-and-neck national polls. The race stays compressed by static base rates and lack of candidate-specific social media pledges; separation could emerge from October debates, final preelection surveys, or postinauguration staffing announcements signaling posting cadence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于白宫#职位2026年3月24日至3月31日?
白宫#职位2026年3月24日至3月31日?
200+ 29%
160-179 28%
180-199 27%
100-119 18%
<20
4%
20-39
13%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
18%
100-119
18%
120-139
18%
140-159
18%
160-179
28%
180-199
27%
200+
29%
200+ 29%
160-179 28%
180-199 27%
100-119 18%
<20
4%
20-39
13%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
18%
100-119
18%
120-139
18%
140-159
18%
160-179
28%
180-199
27%
200+
29%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account's posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around high ranges—200+ at 35%, 160-199 spanning 59.5% combined—reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election's impact on official communications strategy. Historical patterns show Trump's first-term @WhiteHouse averaging 15-25 daily posts during peak weeks, versus Biden's more restrained 8-12, tilting sentiment toward elevated activity if Republicans reclaim the presidency amid neck-and-neck national polls. The race stays compressed by static base rates and lack of candidate-specific social media pledges; separation could emerge from October debates, final preelection surveys, or postinauguration staffing announcements signaling posting cadence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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