Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk sustaining elevated tweet volumes from March 23-25, 2026, with 90-114 posts (29%) edging out 65-89 (28.5%) amid his established pattern of 30-50 daily X posts in 2024, spiking to 100+ during political frenzies like the U.S. election cycle. This tight race reflects uncertainty over future catalysts—SpaceX Starship tests or Tesla unveils could push toward 115+, while lulls in news might cap at 65-89—but historical data from trackers shows consistent high output tied to real-time cultural debates on AI, EVs, and memes. Lower ranges like <40 trail at 1.5%, as bettors dismiss a quiet Musk era post his X ownership hyperactivity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于90-114 29%
65-89 28%
115-139 18%
40-64 14%
$37,253 交易量
$37,253 交易量
少于40条
4%
40-64
14%
65-89
28%
90-114
29%
115-139
18%
140-164
6%
165-189
4%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 29%
65-89 28%
115-139 18%
40-64 14%
$37,253 交易量
$37,253 交易量
少于40条
4%
40-64
14%
65-89
28%
90-114
29%
115-139
18%
140-164
6%
165-189
4%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk sustaining elevated tweet volumes from March 23-25, 2026, with 90-114 posts (29%) edging out 65-89 (28.5%) amid his established pattern of 30-50 daily X posts in 2024, spiking to 100+ during political frenzies like the U.S. election cycle. This tight race reflects uncertainty over future catalysts—SpaceX Starship tests or Tesla unveils could push toward 115+, while lulls in news might cap at 65-89—but historical data from trackers shows consistent high output tied to real-time cultural debates on AI, EVs, and memes. Lower ranges like <40 trail at 1.5%, as bettors dismiss a quiet Musk era post his X ownership hyperactivity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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