Trader consensus favors Zelenskyy posting 40-59 times on X during March 24-31, 2026, at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly average of around 45-55 posts over the past month amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. This baseline stems from daily video addresses, frontline updates, and diplomatic appeals for Western aid, unchanged by recent developments like intensified Russian airstrikes in Kharkiv last week and stalled US aid negotiations following the 2024 election outcome. Lower probabilities for higher ranges (60-79 at 28%) account for potential de-escalation via peace talks, while sub-40 outcomes remain unlikely given his unbroken communication strategy since the 2022 invasion. Upcoming NATO summits could influence future activity patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Zelenskyy # posts 2026年3月24日至3月31日?
Zelenskyy # posts 2026年3月24日至3月31日?
40-59 50%
60-79 28%
80-99 9%
100-119 9%
<20
4%
20-39
8%
40-59
50%
60-79
28%
80-99
9%
100-119
9%
120-139
6%
140-159
6%
160-179
3%
180-199
3%
200+
3%
40-59 50%
60-79 28%
80-99 9%
100-119 9%
<20
4%
20-39
8%
40-59
50%
60-79
28%
80-99
9%
100-119
9%
120-139
6%
140-159
6%
160-179
3%
180-199
3%
200+
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Zelenskyy posting 40-59 times on X during March 24-31, 2026, at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly average of around 45-55 posts over the past month amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. This baseline stems from daily video addresses, frontline updates, and diplomatic appeals for Western aid, unchanged by recent developments like intensified Russian airstrikes in Kharkiv last week and stalled US aid negotiations following the 2024 election outcome. Lower probabilities for higher ranges (60-79 at 28%) account for potential de-escalation via peace talks, while sub-40 outcomes remain unlikely given his unbroken communication strategy since the 2022 invasion. Upcoming NATO summits could influence future activity patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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