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icon for 匈牙利议会选举获胜者

匈牙利议会选举获胜者

icon for 匈牙利议会选举获胜者

匈牙利议会选举获胜者

TISZA 100.0%

DK <1%

匈牙利绿色党 (LMP) <1%

MSZP <1%

Polymarket

$63,742,491 交易量

TISZA 100.0%

DK <1%

匈牙利绿色党 (LMP) <1%

MSZP <1%

Polymarket

$63,742,491 交易量

icon for DK

DK

$7,636,389 交易量

icon for TISZA

TISZA

$4,782,714 交易量

icon for 匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)

匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)

$15,379,380 交易量

icon for MSZP

MSZP

$583,310 交易量

icon for 动量运动

动量运动

$976,957 交易量

icon for 我们的祖国运动

我们的祖国运动

$1,602,436 交易量

icon for 青民盟–基民党联盟

青民盟–基民党联盟

$4,467,770 交易量

icon for 对话党

对话党

$7,139,483 交易量

icon for 尤比克

尤比克

$16,550,426 交易量

icon for KDNP

KDNP

$4,623,627 交易量

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$63,742,491
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$63,742,491
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"匈牙利议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"TISZA",概率为 100%,其次是"DK",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"匈牙利议会选举获胜者"已产生 $63.7 million 的总交易量(自Dec 16, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"匈牙利议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"匈牙利议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"TISZA",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"DK",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"匈牙利议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。