Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于TISZA 66%
青民盟–基民党联盟 35%
动量运动 <1%
DK <1%
$41,095,594 交易量
$41,095,594 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
66%
青民盟–基民党联盟
35%
动量运动
<1%
DK
<1%
匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)
<1%
MSZP
<1%
我们的祖国运动
<1%
对话党
<1%
尤比克
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 66%
青民盟–基民党联盟 35%
动量运动 <1%
DK <1%
$41,095,594 交易量
$41,095,594 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$755,509 交易量
66%
青民盟–基民党联盟
$1,047,320 交易量
35%
动量运动
$546,509 交易量
<1%
DK
$2,087,723 交易量
<1%
匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)
$14,325,691 交易量
<1%
MSZP
$0 交易量
<1%
我们的祖国运动
$459,808 交易量
<1%
对话党
$7,086,484 交易量
<1%
尤比克
$14,786,550 交易量
<1%
KDNP
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$41,095,594结束日期
Apr 12, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$41,095,594结束日期
Apr 12, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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